House vote count for Syria attack:
Sept 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, and today:
CNN:
No: 91, 109, 119, 123, 143, 179 (34 Democrat, 145 Republican)
yes: 27, 23, 24, 24, 25, 25 (17 Democrat, 8 Republican)
the rest undecided or unknown
cnn.com 
The Hill
no/leaning: 71, 110, 135, 138, 139, 195 (38 Democrats, 157 Republican)
yes/leaning: 22, 31, 31, 31, 31, 31 (22 Democrat, 9 Republican)
thehill.com
Washington Post
no/leaning: 167, 204, 224, 226, 227, 257
yes: 17, 24, 25, 25, 25, 25
washingtonpost.com
The yes vote has hardly changed since Sept. 4, while the no vote is now near or at a majority. Almost all the changes have been undecideds switching to no.
These numbers mean, there won't be a vote. Obama now has a way out, a possible victory (or at least a plausible way to claim victory), that doesn't involve Congressional approval for force. I find it implausible Assad will give up all his chemical weapons, but he might be smart enough to not use them again. |
