Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: tejek who wrote (740216)	9/18/2013 11:43:41 AM
From: TimF	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1574852

However it ranks in the top ten of worst storms. In one state over 138 years. You would expect something like that in the specific state every 13.8 years, and somewhere in the world at least multiple times every month. Steping back from the specifics for a moment, you need an enormous data set, that basically doesn't exist, to draw conclusions from the long tail of the distribution. "It is virtually impossible (and takes far more data, by orders of magnitude, than we posses) to prove a shift in the mean of any phenomenon simply by highlighting occasional tail-of-the-distribution events. The best way to prove a mean shift is to actually, you know, track the mean. The problem is that the trend data lines for all these phenomenon -- droughts, wet weather, tornadoes, hurricanes -- show no trend, so the only tool supporters of the theory have at their disposal is to scream "global warming" as loud as they can every time there is a tail-of-the-distribution event." coyoteblog.com