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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dennis Roth who wrote (180814)10/8/2013 9:50:23 AM
From: Dennis Roth1 Recommendation

Recommended By
LoneClone

  Respond to of 206325
 
Tesoro Corporation (TSO)
Going Back to Cali; Upgrade to Buy; Target to $55
2 October 2013 ¦ 14 pages ir.citi.com

Recommendation —
We are upgrading TSO to Buy from Neutral. We are adjusting
our target price to $55 per share (see link to note in 3d bullet below). A sustained
economic recovery in California is our primary rationale for the upgrade which would
validate TSO’s decision to buy the Carson City refinery and double its refining
capacity in the state. We also believe a sustained Bakken crude oil price differential
and an improving free cash flow story leave us with plenty of ammunition to
recommend the stock at current levels.



To: Dennis Roth who wrote (180814)10/9/2013 6:17:01 AM
From: Dennis Roth1 Recommendation

Recommended By
LoneClone

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206325
 
US Independent Refiners
More Cuts than A Hollywood Movie: 2014 Still At Risk of Editing
09 October 2013, 19 pages Report-16 (964.66KB)

Bottom Line: Refiner 3Q EPS have had more cuts than a Hollywood movie.
A surge in crude prices, oversupply of US gasoline, narrowing domestic
crude discounts, weak margins on secondary products (e.g. asphalt),
backwardated market structure, and falling Mid-Con capture rates have been
the culprits we’ve been pointing to for some time (we may have forgotten
some). Of these, the two we are most concerned with for 2014 are Mid-Con
capture rates and gasoline oversupply in the US.