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Strategies & Market Trends : Zman Market Timing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jjs_ynot who wrote (42)10/9/2013 8:50:32 PM
From: zman69  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15903
 
Dave,

Thanks for your input. As I drill down into the components of my short term cycles for that 10/14-15 +/- 3 TD window for a low that I mentioned, the probability is much more skewed towards the cycle coming in the early part of that window meaning 10/9-11, so that would fit with your 10/10 date +/- 1. In fact just based on past history there is a greater than 90% chance of the short-term low occurring between now and Friday and it may very well have been today.

Of course, I only see this bounce as being good for a 3-5 day rally before we turn back down into early November, so my work diverges from yours in that regard. TWT...