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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (103244)10/14/2013 8:24:52 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218231
 
Hello Haim, if true, the following note indicates European issues shall soon be behind us ...

;0)

On Oct 14, 2013, at 9:21 PM, P wrote:

Worth noting:

Basically they are saying that a surprise 10% tax on all EURO deposits would bring down the debt levels to pre-crisis levels without causing individual bank runs and panic.

So since the cat is out of the bag - they either do this very shortly or there will be bank runs very soon

armstrongeconomics.com

In the last section of the IMF report, on page 58, right before the appendices, it reads:

The sharp deterioration of the public finances in many countries has revived interest in a “capital levy”— a one-off tax on private wealth—as an exceptional measure to restore debt sustainability. The appeal is that such a tax, if it is implemented before avoidance is possible and there is a belief that it will never be repeated, does not distort behavior (and may be seen by some as fair). There have been illustrious supporters, including Pigou, Ricardo, Schumpeter, and—until he changed his mind—Keynes. The conditions for success are strong, but also need to be weighed against the risks of the alternatives, which include repudiating public debt or inflating it away (these, in turn, are a particular form of wealth tax—on bondholders—that also falls on nonresidents)

There is a surprisingly large amount of experience to draw on, as such levies were widely adopted in Europe after World War I and in Germany and Japan after World War II. Reviewed in Eichengreen (1990), this experience suggests that more notable than any loss of credibility was a simple failure to achieve debt reduction, largely because the delay in introduction gave space for extensive avoidance and capital flight – in turn spurring inflation.

The tax rates needed to bring down public debt to precrisis levels, moreover, are sizable: reducing debt ratios to end-2007 levels would require (for a sample of 15 euro area countries) a tax rate of about 10 percent on households with positive net wealth(*).

(*) IMF staff calculcation using the Eurosystem’s Household Finance and Consumption Survey; unweighted average.