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To: Elroy who wrote (543641)10/18/2013 11:19:47 AM
From: skinowski2 Recommendations

Recommended By
Ben Smith
Paul Smith

  Respond to of 793858
 
The simplest market timing system - with the only prerequisite being that one must have basic reading skills - is to buy a broad index ETF and to stay invested for as long as its 50dma remains above the 200dma. Over time, you'll get market returns, maybe even better, while avoiding major drawdowns. Don't have them handy, but there are some long term back tested studies to this effect. This would beat by far the big majority of active managers (of all philosophies).

Leaves one plenty of time to stick around and to post on LB's board... :)



To: Elroy who wrote (543641)10/18/2013 12:42:49 PM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 793858
 
Given that it seems wrong to conclude that one should stay away from them.

History shows that if an investment manager gets "hot," the money pours into him and he has a downswing. Survey after survey has shown that the index stocks funds beat the other mutual funds over time.