SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zincman who wrote (103390)10/24/2013 11:19:13 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217786
 
I believe gold 'hedge book' (forward sales of gold to be produced w/i up to 36 months) shall more than likely return if not already well underway, for given the rising volatility of gold (along w/ every other asset class) and squeezed funding in the mining arena guarantee that CFOs of gold mines must and shall hedge to some degree, and over time accumulated, to great degree.

Otoh, given the paper gold gaming and the w/d of physical collateral to shanghai via Hong Kong, and to Mumbai by way of Dubai, it isn't clear that sale of 24-36 months of forward gold would much crimp the coming tsunami of gold demand / longer term rising gold price, because ...

- 'demand' for physical is and shall continue to rise
- trust for paper / hedge gold may turn tepid then weak, and prove not be as the last time forward hedging was popular
- in an environment where a national govt confiscate a gold mine that featured hedge book, and reneges on the hedge, then much hedges shall blow up causing the renegee to seek alternative gold in a hurry, and unbecoming to the max

Bottom line, yes, hedge book shall make appearance, but
The script may not play as expected per history

Or so I suspect