To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (749158 ) 10/24/2013 3:06:12 PM From: bentway Respond to of 1574809 Paul Krugman got the Internet wrong. But Andrew Sprung rightly notes how much he has gotten right Those who find Paul Krugman unduly strident, or unduly…self confident must confront an inconvenient truth: the man has been right about the big stuff. He was right about the Euro . He was right about the Bush tax cuts . He was right about the Iraq war . He was right about the housing bubble . He was right about the size of the stimulus . And, I just accidentally reminded myself, he was right about Obama’s dreams of postpartisanship. On Jan. 28, 2008, with the country in full flush of Obama fever, Krugman posted a warning that Obama ignored for the first 32-odd months of his presidency:It’s starting to feel a bit like 1992 again. A Bush is in the White House, the economy is a mess, and there’s a candidate who, in the view of a number of observers, is running on a message of hope, of moving past partisan differences, that resembles Bill Clinton’s campaign 16 years ago….to the extent that Barack Obama 2008 does sound like Bill Clinton 1992, here’s my question: Has everyone forgotten what happened after the 1992 election? Let’s review the sad tale, starting with the politics. Whatever hopes people might have had that Mr. Clinton would usher in a new era of national unity were quickly dashed. Within just a few months the country was wracked by the bitter partisanship Mr. Obama has decried. This bitter partisanship wasn’t the result of anything the Clintons did. Instead, from Day 1 they faced an all-out assault from conservatives determined to use any means at hand to discredit a Democratic president. For those who are reaching for their smelling salts because Democratic candidates are saying slightly critical things about each other, it’s worth revisiting those years, simply to get a sense of what dirty politics really looks like. No accusation was considered too outlandish: a group supported by Jerry Falwell put out a film suggesting that the Clintons had arranged for the murder of an associate, and The Wall Street Journal’s editorial page repeatedly hinted that Bill Clinton might have been in cahoots with a drug smuggler. If we were waist-deep back then, now we’re neck deep in “a sense of what dirty politics really looks like.” Birth certificate, anyone? Secret Muslim? Muslim secular humanist socialist? Danger on a par with Naziism? Actually, though, not even Krugman was fully clairvoyant. The vulnerabilities arising from Obama’s character are different from those left exposed by Clinton’s. Looking to the recent past, Krugman anticipated scandal-mongering: those who don’t want to nominate Hillary Clinton because they don’t want to return to the nastiness of the 1990s — a sizable group, at least in the punditocracy — are deluding themselves. Any Democrat who makes it to the White House can expect the same treatment: an unending procession of wild charges and fake scandals, dutifully given credence by major media organizations that somehow can’t bring themselves to declare the accusations unequivocally false (at least not on Page 1). The point is that while there are valid reasons one might support Mr. Obama over Mrs. Clinton, the desire to avoid unpleasantness isn’t one of them. In one important sense, Obama has been the anti-Clinton: Bill handed the scandal-hungry GOP a sword named Lewinsky to gore him. Obama learned, as he commented in 2008, that he couldn’t pick his nose without opening himself to attack. Scandal-hunting has therefore proven pretty much a dry well for those out to destroy him. One “valid reason” to support Obama over Hillary was the likelihood that he would guard the scandal flank — though to be fair, Hillary’s personal discipline might not have proved lacking either. On the other hand, no one deluded himself more on the possibility of postpartisan cooperation than Obama himself. His “desire to avoid unpleasantness” — direct partisan conflict, that is — at times hamstrung his presidency.