SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: koan who wrote (751021)11/3/2013 11:49:46 AM
From: Brumar89  Respond to of 1576160
 
Of course, it's not as simple as that. There were lots of northern Democrats and there were Republicans in the south.



To: koan who wrote (751021)11/3/2013 12:22:19 PM
From: Brumar891 Recommendation

Recommended By
FJB

  Respond to of 1576160
 
Obama: The Myth of the Master Strategist

His poor maneuvering before and after the Obamacare rollout shows that he’s not three moves ahead. By Jonah Goldberg

Often in error but never in doubt, Barack Obama could walk into the Rose Garden and step on a half-dozen rakes like Foghorn Leghorn in an old Looney Tunes cartoon, and the official line would be, “He meant to do that.”

And the amazing thing is that so many people believe it. “Mr. Obama is like a championship chess player, always several moves ahead of friend and foe alike. He’s smart, deft, elegant and subtle,” proclaimed then–New York Times columnist Bob Herbert in 2009. It’s an image of the president that his biggest fans, in and out of the press, have been terribly reluctant to relinquish — because it confirms the faith they invested in him. Nobody ever likes to admit they were suckered.

But the fiction of Obama as a man three steps ahead has taken a terrible beating if you have eyes to see it. The budget cuts under the so-called sequester are the law of the land because Obama thought he was outthinking his opponents when he gave budget-cutters budget cuts. Now he’s stuck railing against his own idea. His allegedly revolutionary decision to turn his presidential campaign into a personal political organization independent from the Democratic party has turned out to be the most expensive way ever to generate smarmy and ineffectual e-mail spam. And, if you want to believe that Obama’s goal in Syria all along was to elevate Vladimir Putin and alienate all of our Middle East allies, including Saudi Arabia and Israel, and to make Bashar Assad our strategic partner while he finds more politically correct ways to slaughter his own people, well, that’s nice.

Or consider Obama’s only clear-cut political victory since his reelection. Republican demands were a bit of a moving target, but basically the GOP wanted either an all-out repeal of Obamacare or, as a fallback, a one-year delay of the individual mandate. By the end, they would have taken even less.

But Obama wouldn’t consider it. Instead, he played hardball with everything from national-park closures to, temporarily at least, denying death benefits to military families. As the debt ceiling loomed, the GOP relented. Conventional wisdom says Obama won, and I basically agree with the conventional wisdom.

Or at least I did. There’s something those of us scoring that bout didn’t know: The president desperately, urgently, and indisputably needed to delay the rollout of Obamacare.

This is not a matter open to fair-minded dispute, never mind partisan disagreement. Even the president and Secretary of Health and Human Services Kathleen Sebelius agree that the rollout of Obamacare has been a “debacle” (Sebelius’s word). Revelations in the press and in congressional hearings show that the administration was warned prior to both the shutdown and the Obamacare debut that Healthcare.gov was as ready to go live as a kid’s make-believe refrigerator-box submarine is ready to explore the ocean depths.

If Obama were a chess master — or even a fairly adept checkers novice — he would have known that when you’re not ready to do something incredibly important, it’s best to buy time. He could have traded a delay (three months? six months?) for some major budget concessions, maybe even lifting the sequester. Perhaps his base wouldn’t have liked it, but he could have easily spun the compromise as a necessity given how irrational and “extreme” the GOP was being.

Publicly he’d say he was paying a ransom to “kidnappers” and “hostage takers.” He’d denounce Republicans for delaying precious insurance coverage for sick kids and frail oldsters just to score partisan and ideological points.

But privately, ah, privately, the master strategist would be stroking his proverbial white cat — or, in reality, his hypoallergenic black dog — while breathing a sigh of relief that he bought himself some time to fix his woefully mangled health-care reform.

Obviously he wouldn’t want to delay Obamacare. But that decision was out of his hands due to his administration’s incompetence. The only choice before him was whether he would get the blame for the delay or if the Republicans would.

Why Obama didn’t do this and why it didn’t occur to him are good questions. Hubris obviously played a role, as it does in nearly everything this White House does. But the best answer is he didn’t know how terrible things were over at HHS. In other words, the chess master didn’t even know what pieces he had on the board, which is usually not something we associate with chess masters. It’s something we associate with people who don’t even know how to play the game.

nationalreview.com



To: koan who wrote (751021)11/4/2013 1:07:42 AM
From: Bilow1 Recommendation

Recommended By
D.Austin

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1576160
 
Hi koan; Re: "In 1860, the Republican's were in the north ... "; True.

Re: "... and the Democrats in the south.";

False. In the election of 1860, the Democrats took two states, both in the North. There were no Southern states that voted Democratic. Instead, like the Republicans, the Democrats were split between a northern and southern parts, depending on their opinion on slavery. Look at this graphic, you will see that the Democrats (blue) took almost no counties in the South:


en.wikipedia.org

Re: "the north was much more liberal than the south, then and now.";

Your (crazy) position is that the Republicans were "liberal" while the Democrats were "conservative". To answer the question of whether the liberals or conservatives were more powerful in the North or South we need to look to earlier elections, before slavery split both the Republican and Democrat parties. That would be Whig vs Democrat elections. Here are some results:

1840, Harrison vs Van Buren:

en.wikipedia.org

1844, Polk vs Clay:

en.wikipedia.org

1848, Taylor vs Cass

en.wikipedia.org

The next two elections, 1852 and 1856, were split by regional candidates and the slavery issue.

From the above, you can see that there was, in fact, no regional distinction between Whig (Republican) and Democrat prior to the slavery issue. So either you have to give up the belief that the Democrats were "conservative" or maybe you can add some sort of belief that things changed suddenly in the 1850s.

-- Carl