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Strategies & Market Trends : Option Strategies -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TheNoBoB who wrote (918)12/21/2013 8:43:29 AM
From: Bridge Player  Respond to of 2591
 
I appreciate the reminder. Sometimes it's hard to remember the built-in flaws in these products when you can get wrapped up in the daily monitoring of price action.

The late-day spike in UVXY helped the overall position. If we get another spike next week or perhaps after the holidays I may consider just bailing on the whole idea.

Your post reminded me of a great example of one of the characteristics of ultra (2 and 3 times an underlying) products: their magnification of daily moves. In a flat market they can carry a built-in loss that may more than offset the generally high option premiums.

As in this example I saw one time. Take a triple ETF that attempts to track the following moves in an index.

An index starts at 100 and in the following 20 trading days moves 1 point at a time down to 95 then up to 105, and then back to 100.

I don't remember the actual math involved, but due to the daily magnification, the tracking ETF will wind up not at 100 but with an actual loss (from recollection) something like 10%!.

Edit: A little searching came up with this extensive post on the subject. A wonderful read.

blog.quantumfading.com