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Pastimes : The new NFL -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: sandintoes who wrote (41055)	12/24/2013 10:02:29 PM
From: Robert F. Newton	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 88780

I thinks it's a brilliant idea.................................................................

To: sandintoes who wrote (41055)	12/25/2013 12:22:16 AM
From: Jeffrey S. Mitchell	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 88780

What are you a wise guy? No. It's Christmas. That makes be a wise man. Ho ho ho. :) - Jeff

To: sandintoes who wrote (41055)	12/25/2013 12:43:21 AM
From: Jeffrey S. Mitchell	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 88780

In all seriousness, for me with 25 wins to catch Tom, the leader with 31, if he flipped a coin and went 8-8, I'd have to go 14-2 just to tie. Furthermore, regarding random chance, the more times you flip a coin, the less volatility vs. flipping it less. In other words, if you flip a coin three times (three picks), there is a much greater chance you'll draw an 0-fer (go 0-3) than if you flip the coin, say, 16 times. When you are leading, volatility is your enemy. And if you consider picking as pure skill, once again, the more games you choose from the more chance you have to demonstrate your skill. An analogy here would be that a crappy hitter in baseball has a much better chance of going one for three (.333) in a game than doing that for an entire season or even perhaps 16 at-bats. My point being that, mathamatically, for sure tossing in all the games allows someone way behind to make a miraculous last-second comeback, but the odds actually favor the person leading. - Jeff