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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: i-node who wrote (761764)1/6/2014 3:07:07 PM
From: neolib1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Alex MG

  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 1574709
 

What happened is that Nate Silver took the polls at 100% face value, and they turned out to be right.


Nate Silver took each poll and applied corrections to them based on their historical performance. I have no idea how you turn that into the above sentence. The corrections were in pretty much all cases, biased the way you would expect for each organization. Some organizations had historical left biases, and others historical right biases. All the biases were errors. Nate simply paid attention on how to correct the errors. The politicians instead thought the errors were correct. Hence old Rove's meltdown on live TV.



To: i-node who wrote (761764)1/6/2014 3:31:59 PM
From: THE WATSONYOUTH  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574709
 
The Right-leaning talking heads thought the polls were not accurately reflecting turnout because they weren't taking into account the Obama campaign's ability to get the totally uninformed idiots to vote.

I think they also did not predict that a few million (reflected in Romney not getting as many votes as had McCain) ) of the Republican base would just stay home rather than vote for an uninspiring candidate. I do think though that Romney would have been a fine president.........just not electable at that time.