To: gg cox who wrote (232750 ) 1/8/2014 11:30:12 AM From: gg cox Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 312904 PDL Nice to know someone else sees it the way i did, only after the fact. Loan at 19 percent, North American Paladium has to come up with 32 million a year for interest, alone.. christ.. what is the matter with the board and senior exec's ... overpaid or what... it is possible that shylock banksters took advantage of their plight. ""The first thing is that the forecast implies that they won't generate enough cash to cover interest . That is a huge problem for PAL, and their lender, Brookfield Asset Management (BAM). That is because PAL will have to accrue that interest at the extremely expensive rate of 19%. In addition, PAL recently paid $8.1 million to renegotiate their loan covenants and obtain a recovery of previous interest paid. The new loan covenant requires senior debt to be not greater than 9.0 times EBITDA, at year end 2014. If we multiply the above calculated EBITDA times 9 we arrive at maximum permitted senior debt of $231,750,000. When you accrue interest on the BAM loan at 19%, compounded quarterly, you get a forecast year end BAM loan balance of roughly $200,000,000. Add to that about $35 million drawn on their revolver and $17 million of leases and you have forecast year end senior debt of $252,000,000. That means they will be offside their covenant at year end and in default of their loan to BAM. This can only be realistically avoided by either re-negotiating with BAM, a very costly exercise as indicated by the $8.1 million fee to get an additional $21 million with some covenant relief, or they can raise an additional $20 million of equity (above other needs) to pay down some of their senior indebtedness. An equity raise of the size PAL needs will be highly dilutive. We'll re-examine that point toward the end of this article."" seekingalpha.com Ten bagger ... ya right..lol