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Technology Stocks : Cabletron Systems (CS: NYSE) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Miles Rhyne Hoffman, CFA who wrote (2620)12/11/1997 12:04:00 AM
From: Thomas George Warner  Respond to of 8358
 
Who is "Billy"?
If you are going to use valuline data than you should use all of it. They still rate CS as 3 for timeliness with potential of 130-235% increase over the next 3-5 years. By my calculations that is more than a double.

I think that you are missing a valuable point relative to what an investor should be trying to accomplish. Are you trying for a home run every time or are you trying for consistent returns. In my case I do carefully analze the stock and buy when I think there is a good chance for a profit. I have heavily invested in CS starting at $19, and will start buying more if it hits $14.

In the case of CS the historical and future upside/downside price ratio is excellent.

Debt free.

Excellent products

new management

Officers and Directors own 25% of the common stock.

If you are using valuline data remember that it is massaged by their analysts.

the smart investor always looks back before he looks ahead. past performance is an excellent indicator of future performance.

analysis compares FY quarter to FY quarter, not successive quarters.

With respect to product turnover into cash I do not agree if I understand your definition. What IS important, is product turnover versus cost, calculated by taking the cost of goods sold and dividing by the average inventory. But even that is not very important when we are investing in a turn around company, since we have to rely on historical data.

I will invest in any company that has had the net profit margins over the last 10 years that Cs has, for $19/share.

In summation I would suggest a good investment book to everyone "Street Smart Investing" by George B. Clairmont and Kiril Sokoloff. It details an investment logic that I like. CS seems to fill all of their criteria.



To: Miles Rhyne Hoffman, CFA who wrote (2620)12/16/1997 9:42:00 PM
From: Doug  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 8358
 
Hi Miles: I guess we are lucky to have you on this thread . The prices of tech stocks each quarter are related to the Income/share in a non linear way.
Despite this abnormal relationship, Companies are sold/taken over.
My question pertains to buy out valuations of such Companies. Assuming the level of debt or retained earnings is the same, is the valuation of a Tech made on the basis of:Sales/share, or Income/share or EBITA/share or what else.?

I look forward to your reply. Thx.