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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Eric who wrote (10733)12/11/1997 6:08:00 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77399
 
CSCO: SALOMON SMITH B made new estimate for long term EPS growth of 25.00% per year on 12/04/97



To: Eric who wrote (10733)12/11/1997 10:11:00 AM
From: jim bender  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77399
 
>> I read the latest 10K and there is no new news that we did not know earlier.

Should we be worried about this...

1) low-priced products are growing faster than high end routers
(i.e. slower growth in revenue. more price pressure & low-end growth can not be sustianed)

2) 2500 sales are down (which is a cash-cow for CSCO. I guess more than 1B revenue comes from this product line)

3) International sales are slow.

Message 2928530

Any comments
-jim



To: Eric who wrote (10733)12/12/1997 8:30:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 77399
 
US OPTIONS FOCUS/Tech stock put demand steady Reuters Story - December 12, 1997 17:09 %BUS %ELI %DPR %ENT %US %DRV %STX %INSI %.N/OPT IBM INTC MU CPQ DELL CDN V%REUTER P%RTR CHICAGO, Dec 12 (Reuters) - The drive for put options on technology stocks remained steady Friday as the sector's selloff gained steam in issues like International Business Machines Corp , options traders said. "When the techs were up a little bit, people that didn't get out are getting out," one options trader in Chicago said. "Now it's starting to hit IBM." In late activity, the computer maker's stock was down two at 99-5/8 on consolidated volume of about 7.3 million shares. The stock reached a session low of 96-3/8 before recovering. The stock began the week at 112-1/4. "Option volume is indicative of, if not a panic, certainly a lot of demand for puts," said Jon Najarian, president of Mercury Trading, the designated primary market maker for IBM options. Investors are saying, "Get me a put any way. Any way how, get me a put," Najarian said. IBM puts were the most active outside of those of another technology bellwether, Intel Corp . The IBM December 105 put traded 8,200 contracts and the December 100 put traded 7,655. In Intel, the December 70 put traded 9,020 contracts and the January 65 put traded about 8,720. Najarian said IBM's decline helped push implied volatility in the January series into the low 40s from an average in the low 30s. "That's a huge move," he said. "That's a 20 percent volatility increase in a week." But the options trader said it did appear some investors were willing to take a short-term bet that IBM shares would be able to rebound. He noted heavy action in the December 105 calls, which traded about 17,800 contracts. The option, which lost 7/16 to 3/4, had open interest of roughly 10,780. Even so, Najarian said volatilities in several technology stocks have risen sharply this week as investors had no qualms about paying higher premiums for put protection. He noted, for example, volatility in some Micron Technology Inc January options was up in the 80 to 85 percent range, from an average around 70 percent. "People are just looking where they can to protect themselves," Najarian said. The impact of turmoil in Asian economies on company profits was one of the main reasons for the technology group selloff, and Najarian said the declines even hit companies with little Asian exposure such as Compaq Computer Corp and Dell Computer Corp . Some of the heaviest, most concentrated action was in software company Cadence Design Systems Inc , which was down 1-11/16 at 22-7/8 in late trade. The Cadence December 27-1/2 call traded 5,020 contracts, the December 30 call traded 5,255, the December 27-1/2 put traded 4,985 and the December 30 put traded 5,250. A market maker said a customer was selling the calls and buying the puts.