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Politics : Politics of Energy -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Thomas A Watson who wrote (46278)	1/20/2014 4:28:45 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 86356

I misunderstood. They adduce climate variability to the gravitational effect of the solar system cycles on Earth, not the sun. In that case, I go along with them. They did not say WHY it has that effect on climate. Here is the answer. I should apply for my Nobel Prize for having solved this major part of the Climate Change problem. For decades I have been interested in subduction and oil formation [since 1981 precisely]. Also in regard to volcanicity because subducted carbon compounds is the fuel which launches gigatons of volcanic eruption into the sky. The hydrocarbons float up from the subducted kilometres of marine sediment into magma chambers to fuel volcanoes, and to form oil and gas deposits under impermeable marine sediment traps. Much of it simply leaks to the surface. The reason volcanoes erupt with such ferocity is because of the hydrocarbons going from liquid phase under extreme pressure and magma temperatures to gaseous phase and then burning on exposure to air. Water which is subducted also helps the propulsion process in the same way that Old Faithful is fired into the air. Hawaiian and mid-ocean ridge volcanic activity is not explosive because nearly all the hydrocarbons have been stripped out during the subduction process, leaving only hot magma to well up with a bit of bubbling from residual gases. Volcanoes collect subducted hydrocarbons and water for decades, centuries and millennia in the case of Taupo and some other large calderas such as Yellowstone. Volcanoes erupt with a periodicity depending on that rate of accumulation of propulsive material. When the upward pressure exceeds the downward force, as in geysers, the upward force wins and material is pushed upward and off, relieving pressure on the column of hot liquids. When the hot liquids reach their phase conversion pressure, they change to gases and the familiar geyser eruption sequence proceeds with the whole column of liquids converting to gases. With volcanoes, the column of liquids converting to gases is enormous and the hydrocarbons in the column are combustible, so the eruption is like a geyser but fantastically enormous by comparison and also goes "BANG" due to combustion of the hydrocarbons. But it's not just "BANG" but upper case, bold, multiple exclamation mark "BOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMM plus !!!!!!!!" When does a volcano decide to erupt? When the force pushing down is less than the force pushing up. The force pushing up keeps on increasing as more hydrocarbon and water fuel fills the magma chamber and column from the subducted material. At some stage, the forces are perfectly balanced. The sun and moon create tides which vary the downward force. Air pressure is high and low depending on weather. Groundwater levels are high or low depending on rainfall. Snow cover is high or low depending on temperatures. When the tides are high, air pressure is low, groundwater levels are low and there's no snow, then the downward force is minimal. Those forces vary annually with seasons as they are short cycles. So a volcano can be ready to erupt but not quite getting the tipping point upward force to start the liquids to gas process. Decades can go by but one day Jupiter aligns with Mars, Neptune, Venus, Saturn and Uranus then hey presto, the tide is higher than in a hundred years and all hell breaks loose. The difference might be much less than 1% of the moon's gravitational force but as tipping point people understand, a straw on a camel's back might be minuscule compared with the overall load, but that's all it takes to cause collapse. The gravitational effects are not insignificant. They are more than enough. So, there is a periodicity in volcanicity as a function of solar system orbital mechanics. Do volcanoes influence climate? Do they what!! Everyone knows that. When they fire megatons of sulphates and dust into the air, there is cooling galore. Sunspot activity is influential but not very compared with large scale volcanic eruptions. Taupo erupting, or Yellowstone, are enough to really cool things down. If both went off together... whammo. Ipso facto, QED, habeas corpus, ultra vires, infra vide, hey presto, inter alia, Climate Change is proven to be a function of solar system orbital mechanics. Send me my Nobel Prize. Feel free to peer review or pal review this amazing new theory. Global warming happens when volcanoes have been largely quiescent. Short periodicity volcanoes, like geysers, keep on erupting irrespective of solar system mechanics, but the long periodicity volcanoes depend on those tipping points. There is of course variation in subducted material so the eruptions are not like clockwork, even though solar system orbital mechanics are like clockwork. Make that two Nobel Prizes. One for explaining oil formation and the other for climate change. Mqurice