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Politics : Politics of Energy -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wharf Rat who wrote (47030)1/29/2014 4:21:12 PM
From: Thomas A Watson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86352
 
What cold in Georgia and warmth in Alaska mean is global CO2 levels have no impact on temperatures. Natural variability in the Jet Stream and Ocean Currents drive the weather and CO2 does not. CO2 has no effect on natural variability.

Now this is genuine ratfor plotting...
Should We Be Worried?
Posted on January 29, 2014 by Willis Eschenbach
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

I chanced to plot up the lower tropospheric temperatures by broad latitude zones today. This is based on the data from the satellite microwave sounding unit (MSU), as analyzed by the good folks at the University of Alabama at Huntsville. Here are the results, divided into tropical, extratropical, and polar. I’ve divided them at the Arctic and Antarctic Circles at 67° North and South, and at the Tropics of Capricorn and Cancer at 23° N & S.



Figure 1. Satellite-based microwave sounding unit temperatures (red line) from the University of Alabama Huntsville. Blue line shows a loess smooth, span=0.4. Data from KNMI (NCDF file, 17 Mb)

So … is this something to worry about?

Well, let’s take a look. To start with, the tropics have no trend, that’s 40% of the planet. So all you folks who have been forecasting doom and gloom for the billions of poor people in the tropics? Sorry … no apparent threat there in the slightest. Well, actually there is a threat, which is the threat of increased energy prices from the futile war on carbon—rising energy prices hit the poor the hardest. But I digress …

What else. Southern Extratropics? No trend. South of the Antarctic Circle? No trend, it cooled slightly then warmed slightly back to where it started.

So that’s 70% of the planet with no appreciable temperature trend over the last third of a century

What else. Northern Extratropics? A barely visible trend, and no trend since 2000.

And that means that 96% of the planet is basically going nowhere …

Now, that leaves the 4% of the planet north of the Arctic Circle. It cooled slightly over the first decade and a half. Then it warmed for a decade, and it has stayed even for a decade …

My conclusion? I don’t see anything at all that is worrisome there. To me the surprising thing once again is the amazing stability of the planet’s temperature. A third of a century, and the temperature of the tropics hasn’t budged even the width of a hairline. That is an extremely stable system.

I explain that as being the result of the thermoregulatory effect of emergent climate phenomena … you have a better explanation?

My best regards to everyone,

w.

PLEASE! If you disagree with what I or anyone says, QUOTE THE WORDS that you disagree with, and say why you disagree with them. That way we can understand each other. Vague statements and handwaving opinions are not appreciated.