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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Pogeu Mahone who wrote (54524)2/1/2014 11:42:11 AM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 71479
 
Yes, it is perfectly legal to settle them in dollars, and the
majority of expiring contracts are just settled in cash or
rolled over.

It is also perfectly legal for longs to demand delivery,
in which case either the counterparty or the exchange
must deliver. If there is a shortage, price correction
will be required to make supply available.

Basically, longs can demand delivery when they want,
shorts can deliver when they want. The Exchange normally carries
enough gold to ensure smooth operation (eg, more longs
demanded delivery than shorts delivered, then the exchange bullion
banks must deliver the shortfall).

However, if there is not enough gold on the exchange to deliver to those longs who demanded delivery, there could be a problem.



To: Pogeu Mahone who wrote (54524)2/1/2014 12:09:59 PM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 71479
 
Contracts have various forms, and only a small fraction
is traded on the exchange.

When physical gold goes into customer vaults instead
of staying in the system, the effect on the gold market
is similar to a bank run. While within the system,
customer gold can be re-loaned and re-sold, with just
a paper entry, similar to how $100 deposit in a bank is
Re-loaned 10 times to become $1000 debt. When the original
$100 is taken out of the bank in cash, all $1000 in leverage
is called. Gold based loans are not different: when 400Oz
bar is delivered and stored in a private vault, all 4000Oz
of leveraged gold on this bar comes due. In extreme case
a situation similar to a "bank run" can result, when the leveraged
Pyramid collapses due to folks demanding their physical gold.

Gld serves to be such rehypothecated gold supply, because it stays
within the system. Every gold bar in gld can be re-loaned 10 times and have
10 owners.