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To: Dennis Roth who wrote (182560)2/11/2014 10:26:45 AM
From: Dennis Roth2 Recommendations

Recommended By
evestor
LoneClone

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206181
 
AMID, APA, AUT.AX, FET, FTI, GTE, HERO, PDH, STL.OL, TTI, WPL.AX.
Electric Utilities Sector Bi-Weekly

American Midstream Partners LP (AMID)
Organic Opps Could Drive Growth In Years Ahead
9 February 2014 ¦ 12 pages ir.citi.com

AMID’s future growth will be driven primarily by acquisitions and expansions
around its recently acquired assets. AMID has outlined a 2014 capital budget of
~$70 mil towards projects such as incremental capacity at Blackwater’s Harvey
site and expansion of the PVA gathering system, along with the expected
dropdown of Eagle Ford infrastructure assets later in 2013. Assuming base asset
cash flows remain stable, AMID could achieve mid-to-low single digit distribution
growth over the next few years. TP up to $26 from $18 on lower target yield.
John K Tysseland

Apache Corp. (APA)
Extended Duration to Free Cash Flow Inflection: DOWNGRADING to NEUTRAL (from Outperform); Lowering Estimates and Target Price to $102 (from $104)
11 February 2014 sendspace.com

Downgrading to Neutral: We are downgrading APA shares to Neutral from Outperform and lowering our target price to $102 from $104 per share. While APA shares trade at discounted cash flow multiples versus its peers, we believe this discount may persist as APA isn't poised to reach a free cash flow inflection point until '17. Meanwhile, it appears the company's 'self-help' initiatives, which added value, are largely in the rear-view mirror.

Aurora Oil & Gas Limited (AUT.AX)
Management unanimously supports A$4.10/shr take-over
7 February 2014 ¦ 9 pages ir.citi.com

Baytex has proposed an acquisition of AUT via a scheme of arrangement, priced
at A$4.10/shr. The Scheme Consideration represents a 56% premium to the last
traded price, and a ~21% premium to our A$3.40/shr risk adjusted DCF
valuation. At A$4.10/shr, Aurora trades at a 6.4x EV/EBITDA CY14, higher than
peers which typically trade at 4-5x. We think the deal highlights the value of
Sugarloaf for AWE, AWE trades at a significant discount to our A$2.36 DCF, and
is out top pick in the small cap space.
Dale Koenders

Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. (FET)

Getting the House in Order for Growth in 2014
9 February 2014 ¦ 14 pages ir.citi.com

After a string of bolt-on acquisitions, FET now appears to be refocusing internally
to mitigate the disruptive margin impacts of the kinds of unexpected project
delays and execution issues that the industry has struggled to contain in recent
quarters. Management has conservatively assumed a flat North American rig
count, so any strengthening of domestic drilling activity should provide upside.
We believe the company is positioned for growth across all of its product lines in
2014.
Robin Shoemaker | Mark Brown, CFA

FMC Technologies (FTI)
Subsea Margins Improving But 2014 EPS The Week Ahead: North America Guidance Disappoints
10 February 2014 ¦ 14 pages ir.citi.com

FTI reported strong 4Q13 results but set EPS guidance for 2014 in a range that
was generally below consensus expectations. The good news is that the long-
awaited uptick in subsea margins finally came through. We have trimmed our
EPS expectations for 2014 and 2015 and have lowered our price target from $66
to $63. We keep our Buy rating, however, because we believe the slower pace of
growth in fully discounted in the current share price.
Robin Shoemaker | Mark Brown, CFA

Gran Tierra (GTE)
Year End Reserves and Production Inline
10 February 2014 sendspace.com

Hercules Offshore Inc (HERO)
Less Constructive on Post-2014 Contract Renewal Uncertainties
10 February 2014 ¦ 12 pages ir.citi.com

Petrologistics L.P. (PDH)
Feel the Propane Pinch, but a Healthy Yield Keeps Us Neutral
7 February 2014 ¦ 8 pages ir.citi.com

Statoil (STL.OL)

Project Pipeline Deep-Dive confirms improving profitability
10 February 2014 ¦ 18 pages ir.citi.com

Our analysis of Statoil's upstream project pipeline, drawing on Citi's proprietary
Global Oil Vision database, gives us confidence that Statoil growth targets now
carry more asset visibility than in the past. The benefit of that growth, plus the
recent sale of assets to OMV/ Centrica suggests that Statoil may now be able to
deliver on the key messages at its Capital Markets Day around capital constraint
and profitability improvement. We update our forecasts following Statoil's Capital
Markets Day. We lower our 2014 earnings by 6% driven primarily by lower
production, but our 2015-20 estimates remain largely unchanged. We increase
our DCF-based price target by c.7% to NOK160/share (from NOK150) to reflect
improved capital efficiency over this period.
Michael J Alsford | Alastair R Syme

Tetra Technologies, Inc. (TTI)
Becoming Derisked
10 February 2014 sendspace.com

Woodside Petroleum Ltd (WPL.AX)
Revised Leviathan farm-in terms still <US$0.30/mcf
7 February 2014 ¦ 7 pages ir.citi.com

Woodside has advanced its Dec-12 in-principle farm-in agreement with the
Leviathan JV to a non-binding MOU. WPL now take a 25% interest down from
30%. The new terms imply a modest increase of the NPV of farm-in payments to
US$0.28/mcf (previously US$0.25/mcf) based on a revised 18.9tcf 2C resource,
up from 17tcf. Compare to US$0.88/mcf paid for Browse. Export options are not
yet confirmed but include domestic gas supply to Israel, LNG and/or pipeline
exports to neighbouring countries. Maintain BUY.
Dale Koenders | Mark Greenwood | Vishesh Pachnanda

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Electric Utilities Sector Bi-Weekly
Tracking Changes in Power, Spreads and Commodities
9 February 2014 ¦ 50 pages ir.citi.com