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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: William H Huebl who wrote (94157)

2/10/2014 11:28:14 PM

From: Vitas

Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695

I looked at the stoch 44 of 1/CPC back to 2006 and generally when it hits less than 6 and immediately bounces further damage is delayed, unless we are in a serious downtrend (1/CPC<1) at the time.

What general picture do you see that leads you to immediate concern?

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8/16/2007	1411.27	4.08	bottom final top 8 weeks later
2/20/2009	770.05	5.83
10/2/2009	1025.21	5.46	bottom for 11 days, then a top 15 weeks later
5/6/2010	1128.15	5.29
5/7/2010	1110.88	3.35
5/20/2010	1071.59	5.17
5/21/2010	1087.69	3.38
1/31/2011	1286.12	3.67	bottom for 15 days beginning of 5 months of chop to July 20% plunge
3/14/2011	1296.39	5.95
3/15/2011	1281.87	5.14
3/16/2011	1256.88	4.94	bottom
3/17/2011	1273.72	4.50
6/3/2011	1300.16	5.77
8/9/2011	1172.53	4.67
8/10/2011	1120.76	5.10
8/19/2011	1123.53	4.28
5/14/2012	1338.35	3.27
5/15/2012	1330.66	2.98
5/16/2012	1324.80	2.98
5/17/2012	1304.86	2.98
5/18/2012	1295.22	3.08
11/9/2012	1379.85	4.49	bottom 3 days later
3/5/2013	1539.79	4.76	bottom 5 days earlier
4/19/2013	1555.25	3.88	bottom a top 23 days later
2/6/2014	1773.43	4.96	???