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To: goldsnow who wrote (4157)12/11/1997 5:13:00 PM
From: Al Cern  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116871
 
goldsnow,

Doesn't this one belong in the "Laughter" thread?

Sincerely,

Al Cern



To: goldsnow who wrote (4157)12/11/1997 6:02:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116871
 
FEATURE-Japan life insurers may be next casualty
03:35 a.m. Dec 11, 1997 Eastern
By Fumiko Fujisaki

TOKYO, Dec 11 (Reuters) - Sliding stock prices and mounting
cancellations by individual policy holders are fuelling fears that
Japan's life insurance firms may be next in line to experience a
shakeout in the financial industry.

Because many Japanese life insurers are mutual companies owned by
policyholders, problems at the companies have been less visible than
those at exchange-listed banks and brokers.

But depending on where stock prices close on March 31 -- the end of the
current financial year -- some life insurance firms may not able to meet
promised dividend payment requirements for policy holders this year,
analysts say.

WEAK LINKS UNMASKED

''If they (life insurers) were listed, some would have already been
labelled as failed firms by the markets,'' said one industry analyst who
declined to be identified.

Japanese life insurance firms are cash-rich, backed by huge assets. They
are providers of funds in the money market and this means it is unlikely
they will tap the money market as borrowers, he said.

However, he said stock prices towards the end of next March may force
weak firms to go under.

''If stock prices remain at current low levels they must post huge stock
appraisal losses which will force them to post net losses,'' he said.
''If they post net losses in 1997/98, it means they cannot continue
business as they fail to meet contracts to pay dividends every year to
policy holders.''

Analysts say big insurers have enough unrealised profits on
shareholdings to cover sudden losses and write-offs, but some of the
smaller firms have little cushion left.

HEALTHY LIFE INSURANCE DOUBTS

At the Nikkei average's current level -- around 16,000 -- nine of the 16
big and mid-sized life insurers experience unrealised losses on their
shareholdings.

When the market value of a stock they hold falls below book value, the
insurers must write down appraisal losses at the business year-end on
March 31.

At the end of March 1997, the Nikkei closed at 18,003. On Wednesday, it
ended at 16,478.12.

Earlier this year, a mid-sized life insurer, Nissan Mutual Life, went
under, marking the first failure of a life insurance firm in Japan's
post-war history.

When it was ordered to shut by the Finance Ministry on April 25, Nissan
Mutual shocked the financial market by admitting it had held huge
liabilities for the past three to four years because of excessive stock
and real estate investments in the late 1980s.

The failure prompted policyholders to doubt the health of other
companies, especially after the life insurance industry called on policy
holders to accept a cut in guaranteed returns on their policies as part
of a plan to deal with Nissan Mutual's staggering 300 billion yen ($2.30
billion) in losses.

Diminishing confidence in the life insurance sector was confirmed last
month when the 16 main life insurance firms unveiled their business data
for the first six months.

Ten of the insurers said the total value of their individual policies as
of the end of September fell from a year earlier as new orders fell and
cancellations increased.

In particular, declines in the policies at Chiyoda Mutual Life Insurance
and Toho Mutual Life Insurance were more than five percent.

Plaguing the industry are Japan's super-low official interest rates,
which drive down the yields on other investments. Those lower yields
make it increasingly difficult for the insurers to honour their
commitments on trillions of yen in policies sold in the late 1980s with
higher guaranteed returns.

''Some life insurance firms are something like a bomb (in Japan's
financial system)...But what is unclear is how the authorities are
dealing with the problem of troubled life insurers,'' said another
analyst, who also declined to be identified.

Deeper worries about the nation's insurance industry whirl around the
lack of a permanent safety net.

While the government is working on a new payment guarantee system for
insurance policy holders in the event of the possible collapse of an
insurance company, such a system is not likely to be implemented until
April 1999, analysts said.

INDUSTRY LOOKS TO CUSHION BURDEN

Earlier this month, a study group of the Finance Ministry called on
insurance companies to join the system, which would be funded by
contributions from the industry. The panel also called for a cap on
maximum payment guarantees.

An official at the industry's body, the Life Insurance Association of
Japan, said the association has asked the ruling Liberal Democratic
Party (LDP) to consider the use of public money to protect
policyholders.

''There is an opinion that insurance policies should be fully protected
but it is difficult for the industry to bear the burden on its own,'' he
said. ^REUTERS@

Copyright 1997 Reuters Limited. All rights reserved.



To: goldsnow who wrote (4157)12/11/1997 6:24:00 PM
From: Bobby Yellin  Respond to of 116871
 
Message 2932269



To: goldsnow who wrote (4157)12/11/1997 6:49:00 PM
From: Ronald A. Rosano  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116871
 
All:
Barrick Gold Corporation [NYSE:ABX] To buy
up to 10% of shares or 31 million into 1998.

Ron



To: goldsnow who wrote (4157)12/14/1997 1:45:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116871
 
Not many people now think that Kohl will be re-elected. What would his defeat mean to EMU? Sound rejection by Germans?

"His strength in the European arena pales when set against the domestic problems of record unemployment and increasing difficulties in reaching his political aims, which leave the prospect of a tough election year in 1998..."

biz.yahoo.com