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Pastimes : 2014 NCAA College Basketball March Madness -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: EL KABONG!!! who wrote (19)3/12/2014 4:08:43 PM
From: Jeffrey S. Mitchell  Respond to of 289
 
It would be interesting to see if anyone actually factored in real-world statistics with probability for the tournament. For example, if at least two of the four #1 seeds make to it to the final four each year on average, it should dramatically lessen the number of viable possible outcomes. Then you work backwards from there, and you quickly understand why the odds of a top seed losing to a low ranked team are so statistically small. This would be analogous to betting a trifecta in horse racing where every combination includes the prohibitive favorite horse. Surely someone must have attempted to do this sort of analysis.

- Jeff



To: EL KABONG!!! who wrote (19)3/12/2014 4:54:39 PM
From: Bill  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 289
 
RE: maybe not even the Sweet 16

Oh what short memories we have. Just last year, Florida Gulf Coast was the first 15 seed to make it to the Sweet-16.

Two 14s and six 13s (including La Salle last year) have made it to the Sweet 16, so at this point anything is possible.