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To: Duane L. Olson who wrote (8366)12/11/1997 11:33:00 PM
From: Moonray  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25814
 
General Commentary

How appropriate that the movie "Titanic" is being released next
week, as what once appeared to be an unsinkable tech sector broke
apart after running into an Asian iceberg...
Its latest victims were Kulicke & Soffa and Lattice Semiconductor.
The former announced that third quarter earnings would fall shy of
estimates, while the latter indicated that its sole distributor in
Korea had gone out of business... More stocks in the chip and
chip equipment industries are likely to experience earnings
difficulties given that the Asian region accounts for
nearly 50% of all semiconductor sales... It should also be
noted that Korea produces roughly 1/3 of the world's memory
chips... With the Korean won having dropped by nearly 50%
since October, memory chip prices will continue to decline
putting serious pressure on Micron Technology and (to a
lesser degree) Texas Instruments.


Street finally reaching the conclusion that Asian turmoil will also
have an adverse impact on PC sales... Not surprising in light of
the fact that Asia accounts for about 25% of all PC sales...
Hewlett-Packard and Compaq are likely to be hit the hardest...
Dell's concentration on corporate desktops and its minimal
exposure to the region should insulate it from the difficulties
encountered by others... In fact, the company (as well as the
other PC makers) stands to benefit from lower component costs...
However, Dell is vulnerable is to a potential slowdown in capital
spending by large multinational companies experiencing earnings
contractions due, in part, to the Asian contagion.

In sum, there was nothing in Thursday's session to alter
our bearish outlook... While we wouldn't be surprised if the
market attempted a recovery rally in today's trading, the
deteriorating technical and fundamental underpinnings suggest
that there is plenty of room left on the downside.


briefing.com

o~~~ O



To: Duane L. Olson who wrote (8366)12/11/1997 11:39:00 PM
From: golfinggramps  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 25814
 
DLO, TSO: Korean stocks are getting battered in morning trading. Dongsuh Securities Co., Ltd., one of the country's major brokerage frims has filed for court receivership. Japan down 1.75%, Indonesia down 5.97%, Singapore down 1.94%. Bright spot, Hong Kong, up .58%.

What do you think tomorrows opening will look like? Not sure if Blood is running in the streets or still the falling knife. How the heck do you T/A this kind of action?

Silent Knight