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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: koan who wrote (248166)3/27/2014 1:52:24 PM
From: koan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 541776
 
There is a good chance Jeb Bush will be the next president. And if he is, Ginsberg will mostly likely die when he is there, he will appoint another Scalia or Alito. And with a Republican senate and house what happens to this country.

We always talk about how important electing a dem for president is because of the supreme court. This is a variation of exactly the same thing.

Ginsburg is 81 and has had several bouts of cancer. When Jeb gets in she will be 84/5.

The pubs could have a complete run of the country in 2016.

I would love to debate Ari Melber on his thinking about her staying. Anyone who thinks Ginsberg should stay.

The logic is so clear,



To: koan who wrote (248166)3/27/2014 1:53:29 PM
From: JohnM  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 541776
 
Well, there's an argument that, politically, Ginsberg shouldn't leave until 2016, if then.

The argument goes, first, that it's too late before the 2014 elections. The Senate Reps would find any of a variety of ways to slow down if not stop the approval of an appointment between now and November. Once we get to November, then all bets are off if the Reps gain control of the Senate.

However, at least at the moment, the electoral gods look to swing the senate back to the Dems in 2016. If that's paired with a Clinton win for the presidency, then the odds of getting a decent replacement for Ginsberg go up. Way up.