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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dennis Roth who wrote (183863)5/12/2014 9:50:35 AM
From: Dennis Roth5 Recommendations

Recommended By
Clydetheglide
DaveAu
evestor
LoneClone
saintsinnerido

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206125
 
APA, AR, BNK.TO, CIE, CNQ, CPG.TO, EPE, GPOR, GTE, Inpex, KOG, LINC.SI, LUPE.ST, OXC.TO, OXY, PAA & PAGP, PBR, PDCE, PRE.TO, REP.MC, SD, SXL, TAO.TO, TGL.TO, WES & WGP

Apache Corp (APA)
Q1’14 Wrap-Up: Rebalancing Continues; Permian Steps Up
8 May 2014 ¦ 15 pages ir.citi.com

Antero Resources (AR)
8 May 2014 ¦ 15 pages ir.citi.com
Q1’14 Wrap-Up: Strong Growth On Track As Utica Ramps Up

Bankers Petroleum Ltd. (BNK.TO)

Opex Down in Q1; Secondary Recovery Near
9 May 2014 sendspace.com

Cobalt International Energy (CIE)
More Running Room, More Prize
08 May 2014 sendspace.com

Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ.TO)

First Read: Q1 In Line; Updates to Guidance
08 May 2014 sendspace.com

Crescent Point Energy Corp (CPG.TO)

Q1 In Line; Uinta Updates
08 May 2014 sendspace.com

EP Energy Corp (EPE)

Guidance Raise: Round 1; Reiterate Buy Rating & $23.50 Target Price
9 May 2014 ¦ 16 pages ir.citi.com

Gulfport Energy Corp. (GPOR)

Another Bump in the Road to the Utica Promised Land; Reiterate Outperform
9 May 2014 sendspace.com

Gran Tierra (GTE)
Pipeline Disruption Impacts; Nudge Down TP
9 May 2014 sendspace.com

Inpex (1605)
Q4 results—in line with expectations
9 May 2014 ¦ 7 pages ir.citi.com

INPEX Corporation (1605 / 1605 JP)
Results a beat; Ichthys progressing nicely...
12 May 2014 sendspace.com

Kodiak Oil & Gas Corp (KOG)
Varying Performance On Bakken Downspacing
8 May 2014 sendspace.com

Linc Energy Ltd (LINC.SI / LNC SP)

Royalty reality
11 May 2014 sendspace.com

Lundin Petroleum (LUPE.ST)
Mixed 1Q, but project delivery encouraging
08 May 2014 sendspace.com

Oryx Petroleum (OXC.TO)
Lower Capital Plan; First Production Coming
11 May 2014 sendspace.com

Occidental Petroleum Corp (OXY)

Upgrading to Buy on Restructuring Pro Forma Analysis
9 May 2014 ¦ 18 pages ir.citi.com

We are upgrading OXY to a Buy from Neutral and increasing our target price to
$111 from $103 p/s. We have recut our model for the spin-off of California
Resource Corp, OXY's asset sale program and a shift to horizontal drilling in the
Permian. Our upgrade is based on: 1) an almost doubling of ROCE in Upstream
through the decade; 2) our expectation for reduced capital intensity and
increased cash flow from the Al Hosn, BridgeTex and Chlor-Alkalai projects. We
now estimate an adjusted FCF yield through 2020 of nearly 10%; and 3) a robust
share repurchase program (~130mm shares over 3yrs) supported by OXY's
restructuring efforts. We do not include the impact of the MENA sale at this time.
Faisel Khan, CFA | Robert S Morr

Plains All American Pipeline/Plains GP

DCF Beat; Guidance Unchanged but Mix is Adjusted
9 May 2014 ¦ 14 pages ir.citi.com

PAA reported 1Q14 adjusted EBITDA of $567 mil, compared to our forecast of
$539 mil and consensus of $556 mil for the quarter. The beat was largely driven
by higher than expected margin from the supply and logistics segment, while the
facilities segment missed expectations. Notably, the facilities segment was
impacted by severe winter weather as the natural gas storage business faced
deliverability issues and rail volumes came in lower than expectations.
Faisel Khan, CFA

Petrobras (PBR)

1Q14: Sailing along
11 May 2014 sendspace.com

PDC Energy (PDCE)
Signs Point to Higher Production
9 May 2014 sendspace.com

Pacific Rubiales (PRE.TO)
Solid Q1 results – Upside left from production growth, exploration
8 May 2014 ¦ 9 pages ir.citi.com

Pacific Rubiales (PRE.TO)

Lower Cash Flow; Decrease TP
9 May 2014 sendspace.com

Repsol (REP.MC)
1Q Gains as US North East Freezes
8 May 2014 ¦ 10 pages ir.citi.com

SandRidge Energy Inc (SD)

Neutral 1Q Report; Maintain Neutral Rating & $6.40 Target Price
8 May 2014 ¦ 15 pages ir.citi.com

Sunoco Logistics Partners L.P. (SXL)

1Q In-Line, Strong Volumes As Crude Flows To GC Via Nederland
8 May 2014 ¦ 11 pages ir.citi.com

TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO.TO)
High Impact Zone Misses at Cardiff; Lower TP
11 May 2014 sendspace.com

TransGlobe Energy Corp. (TGL.TO)

Production Guidance Hit; Decrease TP
08 May 2014 sendspace.com

Western Gas Partners 1Q Results
1Q In-Line, Lancaster Plant Online
8 May 2014 ¦ 16 pages ir.citi.com



To: Dennis Roth who wrote (183863)6/10/2014 6:19:49 AM
From: Dennis Roth2 Recommendations

Recommended By
evestor
LoneClone

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206125
 
Devon Energy Corp (DVN)
Ideas Engine Series; Wild Thought: There Is a Concho Resources (CXO) Lurking Within DVN;
Revising Ests & Raising TP to $90 (from $80)
10 June 2014 sendspace.com

Our take: In the early innings of the shale era, the bulk of the alpha has been generated by pure play E&Ps with franchise assets. Given wide valuation disparities between pure plays and diversified E&Ps, we believe the next thematic trade could be larger caps with underappreciated assets, such as DVN's Delaware position in the Permian Basin.

Delaware Basin growth engine.
We see a Concho Resources (CXO) lurking within Devon, but we think the market does not. CXO has been one of the industry leaders in value creation and sports an EV of $18 billion. DVN has a similar acreage footprint to CXO and one of the surprises in our analysis was the fact that DVN has grown its Permian Basin production at a faster clip since 2010 and exhibited slighter better capital efficiency. DVN's horizontal well performance has lagged CXO, but DVN has remapped its geological understanding of the play and recent performance has improved markedly. Given improving drilling returns, we believe DVN could increase its horizontal rigcount to 20 from 12 in the Delaware, which underpins our above consensus production and EBITDA forecasts in 2015 and 2016.

Operational tipping point for stock: DVN has outperformed by 9% in '14, but this upside has been largely driven by successful 'self-help', including accretion from the company's midstream merger (EnLink). We believe there is powerful 'rate of change' momentum not only in the Permian, but also in the Cana-Woodford play, where returns are poised to move higher from a new completion design. We believe we are at an operational tipping point for the stock, with improving results in the Permian and Cana, plus significant FCF from its Eagle Ford, Jackfish, and Barnett Shale assets.

Raise target price: We believe market appreciation of Delaware Basin growth, a positive 'rate of change' in the Cana, and looming FCF profile are poised to drive a re-rating in DVN shares. We are raising our 12-month target price to $90 from $80, which is at parity with our revised NAV. Reiterate Outperform. We are revising our 2014-2016 EPS estimates to $5.44/$5.67/$6.40 from $5.56/$5.20/$5.62 respectively.