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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Senior who wrote (53966)5/31/2014 9:57:28 PM
From: E_K_S  Respond to of 78644
 
You are right Paul. It's all about the cost of feed (ie corn) and one s/d be able to correlate the stock price to corn prices but it never worked for me.

From the article:
goo.gl
Overall, Cal-Maine said it sold 268.9 million dozen eggs, a year-over-year increase of 4.6%, while the average price rose 4.8% to $1.416 a dozen.Feed cost per dozen eggs fell to about 46 cents from nearly 55 cents a year ago.Cal-Maine posted earnings of $42.6 million, or $1.77 a share, up from $30.6 million or, $1.27 a share, in the year-earlier period.Sales rose 9.8% to $395.5 million.Gross margin widened to 23.2% from 18.6%.
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Corn prices dropped 16% and margins increased 5%. They increased their sales by developing their "specialty-egg business". It looks like they developed a line of new breakfast "egg" items at quick-serve restaurants which increased sales by 9%.

Although they did some innovative marketing, the big gain was all due to lower corn feed prices. So the take away for me is, before you buy into these chicken/egg producers, look at the historical price of corn. If it is at/nears lows, then maybe a buy.

EKS



To: Paul Senior who wrote (53966)6/5/2014 1:02:49 PM
From: gizwick  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78644
 
CALM, one of my early successes. Bought at 3.85 and sold at $30.00 then bought at $6.85 and let environmentalists talk me out of holding and also corn cost were increasing. Bought a new motor home with my profits and still have it. Should have kept the stock. LOL



To: Paul Senior who wrote (53966)6/5/2014 1:17:56 PM
From: Justin C  Respond to of 78644
 
CALM was one of Charles Payne's picks yesterday on his new "Making Money" show on Fox Business.