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To: Paul Fiondella who wrote (42159)12/13/1997 9:49:00 AM
From: Mary Cluney  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
Paul, >>>The macro economic situation isn't Intel's fault<<<

I'm worried for you. You are beginning to sound civil and almost worth saving from your own nightmares of doom and gloom.

The laws of economics, such as they may be, have not been rescinded. You will always have, as Harry Truman used to say, economists with two hands. On the one hand you have the cycles of boom and bust. These are psychological events caused by irrational emotions - that even Prozac will have no effect - much as I value my LLY investment.

On the other hand, we have the Silicon Valley and Internet phenomenon. We have already seen the wealth that has been created by entrepreneurs in Silcon Valley and we are about to see the greatest dissemination of knowledge since the invention of printing with the spread of the Internet.

You don't have to be a genius to visualize that the potential to enleash hundreds of Aristotles and Da Vincis are in place - or at least a few million Gates - and great improvements to the human condition have just begun.

And, don't think that Silicon Valley will be confined to California. The Genii has been let out of the bottle - and I don't mean the bimbo on TV. I don't want to sound too Pollyanish - of course there will be booms and busts, and some false starts, but gentlemen, start your engines, the NEW PARADIGM is the real deal and is revving up.

Regards,

Mary Cluney

BTW, Paul, let me ask you, if you had only one investment to make and can only cash in the year 2020, where would you put your money?




To: Paul Fiondella who wrote (42159)12/13/1997 11:16:00 AM
From: Lee Penick  Respond to of 186894
 
Good answer Paul,

So we have a mixed bag of economic uncertainty with possible recession of some countries, or possibly many, BUT we also have some much lower share prices to invest in and take advantage of.

If you put it all together, what is your call? Would you wait for clarity of the economic situation, invest in Intel at $70, continue to short Intel or SOME OTHER company?

Lee

After thought on Merced, You didn't mention the industry rallying behind it as they are. Many companies are teaming with Intel on this one. IBM uses their vertical integration model for business, and therefore produces the high cost products, which on the personal computer level, have been outdone by the horizontal integration model of Wintel and others. If this lower cost, highly innovative method competes against IBM in their lower end, I think that is trouble for IBM. IBM may have a good reputation, but I don't think companies like paying their high prices.



To: Paul Fiondella who wrote (42159)12/14/1997 11:15:00 AM
From: harrypolo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Paul...re "I'll shorten my answers in the future..." Don't. Keep talking. You make a lot of sense to me. And I appreciate your earlier comments on the 1929-1947 bear market. I try to remind people of that when they keep talking about investing for the long term. That's fine, if you live long enough to see a turnaround. Not so fine if you're in your 50's or 60's. Keep up the great posts.
Regards, Harry