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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Brian Sullivan who wrote (53980)6/7/2014 4:28:54 PM
From: E_K_S  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 78627
 
Hi Brian -

Of your stocks, I own INTC, ETP & F.

INTC is a 1.02% portfolio position. I consider this one of my best technology "vaule" buys when I can acquire shares at/or below $20.00/share. I noticed it is getting near my initial sell target of $29.00/share. What's your take and do you have an expected "fair value" target. My cost basis is $19.85/share w/ buys in 2006, 2009 and 2012. You can see I have held some shares for almost 8 years as this is/was a good company to get exposure to the technology sector at a reasonable price.

If I sell any shares it will probably be 50% of my holding but I would like to target those proceeds to one or more other value technology companies. A dividend would be nice but not a deal braker. I always liked Google's technology but the price of their shares is/was always way outside my value range.

I also hold a 1.13% portfolio position in ETP w/ my original buy in 9/2012. I had the dividends reinvested which now account for 15% of the total value. I have no plans on selling and would like to add to my position at $54.00/share or lower. The annual distribution is 6.6% and their growth rate is estimated at 4.5% reflecting a total " Yield to CAGR" value of 11.1%. ETP's " Yield to Coverage" is good at 1.1x. It could be considered a buy at the current level as the distribution + estimated growth is >= 10%.

I bought my shares of F in 12/2005 at an avg price of $8.09/share and have a sell target of around $19.50/share. It has grown to a 0.67% portfolio position. I have never added to it and of all the autos, I like F because of their position in the pickup truck business. It's the only auto company I own and would consider DE and/or CAT as potential adds in the large truck and machinery sector (vs auto).

FWIW, I have had CSCO on my high tech list but even at $16.00/share I could not pull the "value" trigger. I also been watching AMAT but they never met my value target either.

EKS



To: Brian Sullivan who wrote (53980)6/8/2014 9:48:11 PM
From: NikhilJog  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78627
 
Why did you buy BAC, MWV and TGT?



To: Brian Sullivan who wrote (53980)6/9/2014 2:04:09 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78627
 
The only stock that overlaps your list with my positions is BAC.

I mentioned earlier that I missed GILD. Great call if you held it for a while.



To: Brian Sullivan who wrote (53980)6/9/2014 2:30:48 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78627
 
GILD: Not such a good day for Gilead given Merck buying Idenix: blogs.marketwatch.com
It will still take about four to five years of work to get the drugs to market, Bernstein wrote. But “this will certainly create an overhang for Gilead’s stock given the greater credibility and resources that Merck brings to the table, as well as the broader portfolio of combination options.”
Merck is primarily interested in IDX21437, an Idenix drug known as a nucleotide, or "nuke." Merck plans to combine the drug with two of its own drugs that work by different mechanisms for a triple-drug regimen that could potentially cure most types of hepatitis C in less than two months. That triple regimen, however, is probably about three years away from reaching the market, assuming clinical trials are successful and regulators approve it, analysts say. Merck hopes to bring the double-drug regimen to market first. (from WSJ)



A lot can happen in 2-5 years. I'll bet on GILD analysts earnings estimate for 2015: forward p/e is 10 per Yahoo with GILD having high roe and large profit margins. Upped my few shares a bit more this morning.


finance.yahoo.com