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To: Dennis Roth who wrote (184502)6/23/2014 6:32:15 AM
From: Dennis Roth1 Recommendation

Recommended By
evestor

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206151
 
Iraqi Turmoil Could Result in More Oil, And
Higher Prices/Kurdistan Equity View
19 June 2014 ¦ 17 pages ir.citi.com

Southern Growth Continues, But ‘Fear Premium’ Is Well Justified;
Increased KRG Oil Exports Could Benefit Genel, Afren, DNO



To: Dennis Roth who wrote (184502)6/25/2014 7:09:15 AM
From: Dennis Roth2 Recommendations

Recommended By
evestor
LoneClone

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206151
 
Energy Weekly: Iraq Keeps the Market on Edge — Oil Prices Shrug
Off Weak Physical Markets As Iraqi Troubles Remain. China Moves
To #1 Energy Net Consumer
23 June 2014 ¦ 14 pages ir.citi.com

The current state of affairs in Northern Iraq is difficult to establish with any
certainty but newsflow is doing little to help oil bears, with the latest reports
suggesting ISIS have captured several key border crossings to Jordan and Syria.
This could see increased flows of ISIS personnel and weaponry into Iraq, further
destabilizing the country. Geopolitical risk has been solely responsible for
pushing Brent to ~$114/bbl as spec net length reached a yearly high of 224-k lots
last week. Citi’s base case is for Baghdad to remain in government control,
meaning minimal disruptions to Basra loadings. But the Iraqi situation and degree
of uncertainty, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine crisis and other MENA troubles likely
warrant the elevated flat price. Unless something gives, it is hard to see flat price
making a significant move lower.