SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Market Gems:Stocks w/Strong Earnings and High Tech. Rank -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LastShadow who wrote (4324)12/14/1997 1:18:00 PM
From: LastShadow  Respond to of 120523
 
Watch List 12/15 and comment of EFII:

SYMBOL CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE % (LOW) CHANGE % (HIGH)

CPQ 56.312 0.312 0.00% (1.06%)
INEL 5.500 0.234 3.70% 2.33%
ORCL 22.750 0.812 0.86% (2.00%)
PAIR 19.000 0.250 3.94% 2.58%
PCNI 4.750 0.437 0.00% 6.94%

Volume droppoing on ORCL so the sell off may be slowing.
I ran an Elliot Wave on CPQ and its looks time for its reversal.
I will watch this one attentively Monday.

PAIR and PCNI are both a little iffy, but I expected to see PAIR
to make another low Friday and it didn't happen.
Chaikin and Stochastics are both turning up.

MSPG 32.875 3.000 3.91% 15.90%
TCOMA 28.000 1.156 3.36% 4.16%

Although both these jumped great on Friday I expect they will have
a selloff Monday morning as both went way beyond their upper
Bollinger Bands. MSPG at 27.5 would be a good entry point if it drops back.
TCOMA may carry its momentum onward, as the % increase was as
substantial but still worth waiting to see if a profit-taking opens the day.

MTIC is worth taking a look at also. Trendinglining between the middle of
October (for highs) and the end of Oct for lows, we have a loose horizontal pennant.
This means within a week its going to jump either up or down usually.
Which way is the question, of course. I need to do a news/FA research on it,
but just in case it gets watch for gaps or accumulation all next week.

lastshadow



To: LastShadow who wrote (4324)12/14/1997 1:20:00 PM
From: LastShadow  Respond to of 120523
 
Watch List Part 2: EFII

EFII - I'm sure there are tons of posts about it, and that all the newsletters are hyping it, so here is my call on it. If you can enter below 15.75 and exit profitably it will be a good day. If you want to accumulate up to Jnauary Effect time, then tomorrow would also be a good time to do so - but wait for the bounce and drop down and get in at or under 16 as it should reasonable go to 20 in a month and to 30 by summer. If you want to double your money in 12 months, then buy when you see the upticking on the daily chart this week - use Three days as a minimum indicator. DO NOT buy on the morning rush if its does jump up and you are not a real-time trader. Wait. The profit taking should cause a pullback mid-morning. Even if that doesn't happen, it should stabilize within 2-3 days of trading, or at least be to a point where one can see if its recovering.

I will be playing a GADZ-type intraday buy/sell/short/buy to cover/etc. as it wears on. Providing I have the time. There is a very strong possiblity it will gap in the morning, in which case I would recommend you set a limit entry TODAY and if that doesn't fill wait for the pullback. Caution - do this if you can read the intraday ticker. After 10 am you should be able to do it with delayed quotes profitably. If it opens at Friday's close and goes down, then it will only do that for a short time before starting the climb.

Friday's ticker on it was fascinating to watch. A lot of analysts ascribe the initail dumping to panic but I saw the first hour as stops being filled. A lot of folks lost a ton of money on this one, and that drove some afternoon selling (see the hump on the 1 minute ticker). This stock was pushing 60 and now is at 15. The forecasted earnings drop of 50% was devastating for a 25 point drop. Its not the leader in its sector, and dince it doesn't have the kind of contracts its competitors have it can't accurrately be compared to them. But, it is still worth accumulating for a 25% increase before Dec 31. I set a lower stop at 14.5 and set multiple mental upper stops at 16.5, 17.25, 18.5 and 19.25. Actual reentry and exit points intraday will be determined watching the upper and lower resistance improvements or leveling. Analyst's ratings have NOT been updated (except for Prudential's I think) by end of day Friday, so don't go by those. Use common sense - look at its numbers, assess the potential for the company and make you decision based on your tradings style/skill.

Again, if you want to enter this one do so as limit buys and set a protective stop for whatever your risk is. But at 15.5, 14 would be that absolute lowest limit exit I would recommend (10% below your entry). If you only wish to trade this one up, then my guess is a 20% short-term gain if you can enter below 16.

lastshadow