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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jay who wrote (42246)12/14/1997 9:26:00 PM
From: Paxb2u  Respond to of 186894
 
Jay,

I havn't been paying much attention this weekend, so why is this a long nite of fear?

Thanks,

Peter :o)



To: Jay who wrote (42246)12/14/1997 10:01:00 PM
From: Urlman  Respond to of 186894
 
JackBW: Welcome to Business Week Online! Tonight the topic is chip giant Intel --
JackBW: will it soon be Intel Inside Everything?
ntelvp: Thanks Jack and Andy, glad to be here. Mike
JackBW: Hi also to my BW colleague, Andy Reinhardt (AReinhardt),
JackBW: fresh from writing this week's BW Cover Story on Intel.
JackBW: Andy, you have the honor of asking Mike the first question.
Areinhardt: Mike, tell us a bit about how Intel decided to start going after low-end markets more aggressively.
Intelvp: Well, we have been watching them for a while, both low
Intelvp: end PC's and other types of devices like internet phones and network
Intelvp: PC's. We have active programs for all of these right now,
Intelvp: except internet phone, which never panned out.
JackBW: How big a share of the market
Areinhardt: Isn't it a bit early to say that Net phones haven't panned out?
JackBW: Andy's question takes priority.
Intelvp: I'll answer Andy's question first. I think that so far, it is
Intelvp: clear that internet phones as standalone appliances,
Intelvp: haven't been successful. I do think that internet telephony
Intelvp: as a category will be very important. It is one of the things
Intelvp: we are discussing with the US cable industry.
Intelvp: Mike
JackBW: EBLUESTONE has a question similar to what I was
JackBW: starting to ask.
JackBW: When did you first notice the sub 1k computer Mkt and what are sales in that market right now?
Intelvp: The sub-$1k market has been around for quite a while,
Intelvp: but it has been primarily firesale stuff. In the last year,
Intelvp: Compaq, among others, has designed computers specifically
Intelvp: for this category. We have been working with the syste
Intelvp: suppliers quite successfully. At the $900 and above price
Intelvp: points we have the same market segment share as for higher
Intelvp: priced PC's. Mike
JackBW: If you have a comment about the market for DKerne1, I have a follow-up.
JackBW: do you think the so-called asian flu is overblown in the tech stocks right now?
JackBW: That's DKerner's.
Intelvp: It always amazes me that world events seem to have more
Intelvp: impact on our stock price than our own performance. I
Intelvp: have watched us exceed, meet, and miss the street
Intelvp: forecasts and the stock moves in the opposite direction!!
Areinhardt: But how much exposure doesn Intel have in Asia?
Intelvp: It is certainly a phenomenom that concerns us, but on
Intelvp: the other hand there isn't much we can do but wait it out!
Intelvp: Mike
JackBW: My question is a bit broader -- what impact do you see on U.S. high tech --and Intel specifically -- from the
JackBW: Asian sickness? ...
Intelvp: Ok, I see the drift of your question. I think that the 'asian
Intelvp: flu' as DKerner calls it, is going to end up with some of
Intelvp: the asian suppliers of PC ingredients being more aggressive
Intelvp: and competitive. This will make PC's even more cost
Intelvp: effective, and will increase the level of world wide competition.
Intelvp: This will be a good thing for the PC market.
Intelvp: Mike
JackBW: Clonbuster has a genuine consumer question for Mike Aymar:
JackBW: do you think the so-called asian flu is overblown in the tech stocks right now?
JackBW: Sorry, wait a sec.
JackBW: How powerful of a processor will I need for a good family room PC?
Intelvp: Let me answer Clonbuster and Tuze1 with the same answer.
Intelvp: The performance of the processor depends on the applications
Intelvp: you want to run. If you want to do DVD playback in software only
Intelvp: like Compaq does today with their Pentium(r) II - 266 Mhz, or
Intelvp: if you want to run the latest, awesome 3D games like G-police
Intelvp: you need a powerful processor. Certainly a PentiumII. If you want
Intelvp: to surf the net, it turns out that the latest browsers are amongst
Intelvp: the most memory and processor hungry apps out there as well
Intelvp: So, the processor should be selected based on the applications you
Intelvp: intend to run, whether in the family room at 10' or in your den
Intelvp: at 2'. Mijke
JackBW: Intelvp is Mike, Kerning.
JackBW: How about the Java chip question
JackBW: from Urlman next?
Intelvp: Right now we are focused on producing the most powerful
Intelvp: general purpose processors available, not special purpose
Intelvp: chips like Java accelerators. Historically, this strategy has
Intelvp: always proven to be the best in the computer industry. Java
JackBW: Zosh4 sent us this question in advance: Where do you see Intel'
Intelvp: is an important development language, no argument, but it
Intelvp: is not the only language or environment out there. Mike
JackBW: Where do you see Intel sales growth over the next five years?
Areinhardt: One can't argue with Intel's success to date with general-purpose processors. But the key could be "right now.
Areinhardt: What would make Intel decide to use something smaller like a StrongARM for low-end
Areinhardt: devices?
Intelvp: Well, the consideration of lowend devices is different from considering
Intelvp: a Java specific chip. We are certainly interested in new devices
Intelvp: and appliances and the processors they may require. We sell
Intelvp: more microcontrollers at below $20 then microprocessors every
Intelvp: year, for example. As part of the DEC settlement, we have obtained
Intelvp: the rights to StrongARM, and we are now digesting what, if
Intelvp: anything we should do with it, and how it might fit in our product
ntelvp: portfolio. There isn't much else I can disclose about it at this time
Intelvp: however. Mike
JackBW: Now, to the question from Zosh4 if we can, re five-year sales growth.
>>>>>>>snip??????<<<<<<<<<<
Intelvp: You have to ask Andy. I, personally, haven't seen him slow down or even consider such a move
Intelvp: I have worked for him for several years now, and continue to be impressed with his flexibility
Intelvp: and lateral thinking. You certainly won't find out first from me (and in fact, I probably won't find
Intelvp: out first either!) Mike
JackBW: You answered this one in part, Mike, in relation to Java chips.
JackBW: Where does Andy Grove stand between Sun And Microsoft and Sun in relation to Java
JackBW: ?
Intelvp: We view Java as an important development in the world of software development environments.
Intelvp: We have worked internally to make sure that Intel architecture PC's can (and in fact, the DO!)
Intelvp: execute Java code more efficiently and faster than alternative architectures. We are not
Intelvp: believers in Java as an operating environment, however. That is a 'discussion' between Sun
Intelvp: and Microsoft that is better taken directly to them. Mike
JackBW: This is from Ewuski (a.k.a. devil's advocate?)...
JackBW: Is a microprocessor chip really worth $700? It's just silicon
JackBW: Welcome to Business Week Online! Tonight the topic is chip giant Intel --
JackBW: will it soon be Intel Inside Everything?
Intelvp: The value proposition for the micorprocessor is complex. It is driven by what people want to
Intelvp: do with their PC's, most importantly. For example, if video editing beomes popular, and I hope
Intelvp: it does for my own personal use, as Clonbuster asks, it will require an incredibly powerful
Intelvp: processor - one that is in development now. Now, if many people can make such a processor
Intelvp: in millions, then competition will drive cost lower. Until that happens, I believe that consumers
Intelvp: and business users will be willing to continuing purchasing PC's at today's higher end price poiints
Intelvp: to run these new applications. This is the spot where our more expensive processors
Intelvp: do very well. Mike
JackBW: EBLUESTONE asks about Intel rival Cyrix.
JackBW: What about NSM (Cyrix) all in one computer on a chip - at what level sales would force Intel to follow suit?
Intelvp: We are looking at the right way to do higher integration as part of our focus on the lower end
Intelvp: PC category. It isn't clear that 100% integration makes sense. We tried that with the 386SL



To: Jay who wrote (42246)12/14/1997 10:04:00 PM
From: Urlman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Intelvp: and 486SL. They products couldn't keep up with the Moore's Law driven development of
Intelvp: the individual components. That is the challenge. How do you integrate three different products,
Intelvp: each with awesome improvement vectors - microprocessor, memory controllers, and graphics,
Intelvp: without falling behind in at least one. When that happens you are only as strong as your
Intelvp: weakest link. So, it may make sense at the low end, and we are evaluating the best
Intelvp: alternatives here, but it won't work for DTV, or video editing, or running the latest browsers
Intelvp: and 3D games like G-police.
Intelvp: Mike
JackBW: Zosh4: What did Intel learn in loosing out to Cyrix for chips in Compaq's cheap computers ?
Intelvp: We learned that there is a market below $999 that we, and Compaq by the way, think will
Intelvp: grow the total market for PC's. Compaq was more committed here a year or so ago, than we
Intelvp: were. We have responded and are proud that our processors are doing as well in $900 PC's
Intelvp: as they are in $2000 PC's. We still have work to do to get to the $800 and below price points,
Intelvp: but we have active product development going on right now. Mike
JackBW: Ewuski: Is the only use for a P2 Chip just for better multimedia because of it's speed?
Intelvp: No, the PentiumII has many uses. Today, leading edge 3D games and videoconferencing and
Intelvp: videophone benefit directly. Also, running the latest browsers from Microsoft and Netscape
Intelvp: directly benefit from the PentiumII. Also, we are working with software developers to move to the next
Intelvp: class of highend apps and capabilities that will require a PentiumII. These include video
Intelvp: editing and speech recognition. Mike
JackBW: Tuze1: Is Intel planning to introduce a new chip in 98? If yes, which one(s)?
Intelvp: We are planning on introducing several new versions of the PentiumII processor in 98. They
Intelvp: will include much faster versions in the existing package, as well as versions targeted specifically
Intelvp: for notebook computers and for servers and workstations. In the latter case, they will be capable
Intelvp: We are planning on introducing several new versions of the PentiumII processor in 98. They
Intelvp: will include much faster versions in the existing package, as well as versions targeted specifically
Intelvp: for notebook computers and for servers and workstations. In the latter case, they will be capable
Intelvp: of operating in multi-processor systems for example. At the lowend, we also are working on
Intelvp: versions that will be available in $999 PC's before this time next year! It is going to be a pretty
Intelvp: exciting year for us as our factories ramp and we deliver these differentiated versions of the
Intelvp: processor. Mike
JackBW: MN107: Will Intel and Microsoft ever venture together?
Intelvp: I am not sure what 'venture' means. We work constantly and in depth with Microsoft.
Intelvp: Mike
Areinhardt: Is there any concern around the halls of Intel that your stock is down 31% since August?
JackBW: Andy has one next.
Intelvp: Well, our stock is down, but so is the stock of the technical community in general. This is
Intelvp: largely due to external stuff, like the 'asian flu' that was referenced earlier. There is also a
Intelvp: transition going on as the price of PC's moves down. I believe, as I stated earlier, that this will
Intelvp: ultimately result in market growth, but in the very short term (which unfortunately is what stocks
Intelvp: seem to respond to) it hasn't resulted in immediate growth. We are very happy with the year
Intelvp: to year unit growth, but we are still waiting for the spurt in growth that lower prices should
Intelvp: stimulate. Mike
JackBW: Follow-up from Zosh4: Would you buy Intel for your children at today's price?
Intelvp: I have bought a PC for my daughter, that is, of course, Intel based. I have also helped friends
Intelvp: I have bought a PC for my daughter, that is, of course, Intel based. I have also helped friends
Intelvp: and relatives by PC's with Intel Inside(r) during the last year. I am proud to recommend our
Intelvp: products. What else could you expect?! Mike
JackBW: I think Zosh was referring to Intel stock, Mike.
Areinhardt: Mike, I think he meant stock.
Intelvp: Now I feel like that character on Saturday Night Live, wasn't it Emily Latella who kept saying
Intelvp: "Oh... never mind"? I don't make recommendations on stock. Many people feel that Intel is
Intelvp: a buying opportunity at today's prices, but then, many others see it as a selling opportunity, and
Intelvp: continue to do so. Personally, I own roughly 20,000 shares of stock, and have no intention
Intelvp: of selling right now, nor do I intend to exercise and sell any of my internal options. I think
Intelvp: Intel is worth a lot more than today's, short term focused, market suggests. Mike
JackBW: Let's surf over to this one: Will the browser war between Microsoft and Netscape slow Internet development?
Intelvp: I think that the competition in browsers is accelerating internet development. The squabbles are
Intelvp: over relatively minor stuff, like which format plugins are developed in, and whether your preferred sites
Intelvp: are called bookmarks or favorites. I like the developments and benefits that are flowing from
Intelvp: this competition, both personally, and as the person responsible for selling processors that
Intelvp: must operate at higher and higher performance to execute the browser apps. I thiink that the
I thiink that the
Intelvp: browsers soon to ship (I think version 4 from both companies) are likely to be the most
Intelvp: complicated software apps ever shipped to general purpose users!! Mike
JackBW: I'm curious how an Intel executive would answer this from Clonbuster.
JackBW: How important is it to get kids on PCs? How did you get interested in this stuff?
Intelvp: It isn't hared to get kids on PC's. They gravitate to them. There is a book out called 'Growing
Intelvp: up Digital" that has been recommended to me. My daughter (12 years old) for example has
Intelvp: grown up with completely different assumptions about how things work than my passive, couch
Intelvp: potatoe older self. She asked, for example, where the fast forward button was on our vinyl
Intelvp: record turntable! I wish it would happen sooner, but I think that our kids will be doing stuff
Intelvp: in the digital age that will blow our minds. Now, how did I get involved? It was a overnighter
Intelvp: playing at the Stanford AI lab in the late 60's, with apps like spacewar and a very, very early
Intelvp: vector based flight simulator. Of course, that was followed by years of using teletypes,
Intelvp: paper tape, and such that are too painful to recount... Mike
JackBW: A quick final question from Andy.
Areinhardt: Mike: a bit of crystal balling. What percent of the PC market (consumer or corporate, or both) will be
Areinhardt: sub-$1000 by the end of 1998?
Intelvp: That isn't a number that I can disclose, at least our internal projection. As before, I suggest
Intelvp: that you contact Dataquest or one of their competitors. I can assure you that we are prepared
Intelvp: with products and capacity to support the market, however the mix turns out. We are actively working
Intelvp: to develop both ends at once!! Mike
ntelvp: to develop both ends at once!! Mike
JackBW: That's it for tonight's visit with Mike Aymar of Intel. Thanks so much, Mike, for your rapid-fire answers.
JackBW: Thanks for your help, Andy Reinhardt.
JackBW: Special thanks to the audience -- and for their many good questions.
JackBW: Sorry we didn't have time for more.
Intelvp: Thanks to all the participants. I am sorry I couldn't answer more questions. Mike
JackBW: A transcript of this event will be available soon -- look under Talk & Conferences on the BW
JackBW: Online opening screen. And tune in every Sunday for our events!
Areinhardt: Thanks to the audience for being here!
########
ahhh what the heck I might as well plug AOL:
If you were a subscriber to AOL you could have been involved in this
chat session

-Urlman



To: Jay who wrote (42246)12/14/1997 10:19:00 PM
From: Mary Cluney  Respond to of 186894
 
Jay, Some notes from Intel BusinessWeek Online tonight:

1. Intel sell more micro controllers under $20 than Microprocessors

2. Currently Evaluating StrongArm from DEC.

3. Intel has same market share for computers $900 and above as $2000
computers.

4. Intel wokring on Computers for under $800.

5. PII segmentation (differentiated versions of PII) targeted for 1998 in areas for:
DTV, video editing, video conferencing, speech recognition, 3D games, multiprocessor systes, notebooks, servers and workstations.

Concerning Next releases of web browsers Navigator 4.0 MSIE 4.0:
"must operate at higher and higher performance to execute the browser apps. I thiink that the browsers soon to ship (I think version 4 from both companies) are likely to be the most complicated software apps ever shipped to"

Mostly a marketing type Q & A. Not much info.

Mary