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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dennis Roth who wrote (185078)8/1/2014 11:32:39 AM
From: Dennis Roth3 Recommendations

Recommended By
evestor
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  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206123
 
Matador Resources Co (MTDR), Phillips 66 and Phillips 66 Partners,
Russian Oil, Gas and Services, Russian Oilfield Services, Tenaris (TS)
UGI & APU 3Q:14 Results, US EIA Petroleum Statistics
Valero Energy Corp (VLO)
OT: Global Economic Outlook and Strategy

Matador Resources Co (MTDR)
Alert: Permian Ops Update Inline; 3rd Rig Coming Early 2015
30 July 2014 ¦ 7 pages ir.citi.com

Summary. Matador released a Permian Basin operational update highlighting two
new well results, additional acreage acquisitions and a more definitive timeline for
activity acceleration. All updates were broadly inline with our expectations and we
anticipate additional color from the firm on their Q2’14 results conference call next
week. We maintain our Neutral rating and $25 target price.

Phillips 66 and Phillips 66 Partners
Focus Remains on Midstream and Chemicals
30 July 2014 ¦ 16 pages ir.citi.com

2Q’14 PSX EPS of $1.51 was below our $1.72 and $1.85 consensus estimates.
Lower refining earnings caused the miss. However, PSXP results were better
than our estimates. PSXP reported Q2 adj. EBITDA of $36.9 mil, which beat both
our estimate of $35.4 mm by ~4.2% and the consensus estimate of $35.6 mm by
~3.7%. Distributable cash flow for the quarter of $34.3 mm handily beat our
estimate of $28.9 mil by ~19%.

Russian Oil, Gas and Services
Alert: Potential impact on sector from sanctions
30 July 2014 ¦ 7 pages ir.citi.com

Offshore, shale oil, LNG and refining projects at risk:
All companies potentially affected, but Rosneft stands out:

Russian Oilfield Services
Alert: New Sanctions – Potential impact on Russian OFS
30 July 2014 ¦ 9 pages ir.citi.com

The EU and the US announced a new round of sanctions against Russian
economy, specifically targeting exports of equipment used in oil and gas
production. The negatives for Russian OFS names should not be exaggerated, in
our view. In contrast, possible restriction of high-end services supplies to Russia
may spark traditional drilling activity, something Russian OFS names have
proved to be good at. We reiterate our Buy rating on CAToil following the 20%
price collapse, which we view as unjustified. We remain Neutral on EDCL, which
has performed relatively solid lately, although we note the possible tailwinds it
may face going forward.

Tenaris (TS)

Results: Strong Rebound in North America Sales
31 July 2014 ¦ 8 pages ir.citi.com

Tenaris reported 2Q14 results in line with expectations but with an important
positive development in its sales mix by product and market. The stock continues
to trade at a rich 16x 2015E earnings multiple relative to its medium-term EPS
growth forecast. We maintain our Buy recommendation based on a compelling
6% sustainable free cash flow yield with room for improved pricing and volumes
potentially emerging for 2015 from its North American division.

UGI & APU 3Q:14 Results
Results Benefit From Marcellus Assets & Strong Propane Margins
30 July 2014 ¦ 14 pages ir.citi.com

US EIA Petroleum Statistics
Strong summer refinery activity continues to whittle down high
crude inventories, with Cushing stocks at new 6-year lows
30 July 2014 ¦ 28 pages ir.citi.com

North American crude markets are being driven by the tension between fast-
growing oil production from shale plays and the ability of the complex US refinery
sector to process this new abundance of light sweet crude oil. In particular,
pipelines built over the last few years bring inland production down to the US Gulf
Coast, or PADD III region, so much of the focus is on crude inventories in PADD
III and in Cushing. This week's EIA data show that US refineries continue to run
hard, keeping PADD II (midcontinent) and PADD III inventories under check for
now. The storage hub of Cushing, Oklahoma - where WTI is delivered and priced
- has been able to draw down to six-year lows; how low do stocks go before WTI
rallies to retain barrels? Meanwhile, the drawdown of Cushing stocks is being
helped by line fill for the new Pony Express pipeline.

Valero Energy Corp (VLO)

EPS In-line with Interim Guidance;10% Dividend Increase
30 July 2014 ¦ 8 pages ir.citi.com

VLO reported adjusted 2Q’14 EPS of $1.22, in line with its interim update of
$1.15 - $1.25 p/s and our estimate of $1.20 p/s. Despite the higher turnaround
activity in the Gulf Coast VLO’s total throughput was much higher than guidance.
VLO expects to continue to run at strong rates during the 3Q’14. VLO maintained
consistent diesel exports at ~210 mbpd and expects a similar run-rate in 2H’14.
VLO yesterday announced a 10% dividend increase. It also bought back ~4.0mm
share in 2Q’14 and ~2.0 mm shares in July.

OT: Global Economic Outlook and Strategy
Global Economic Outlook and Strategy - July 2014
30 July 2014 ¦ 52 pages ir.citi.com

'We are trimming our forecasts for global growth in 2014 to 2.9%’, announces
Willem Buiter,
‘reflecting further downgrades to some emerging markets (including
Indonesia, Russia, Nigeria and Mexico), outweighing this month’s upgrade to our
2014 China growth forecast (to 7.5% from 7.3%)... the sharp rebound in Q2 US
real GDP growth, and solid job growth, reinforce our view that the Q1 weakness in
GDP was just a temporary pothole, and we expect continued US strong growth in
H2 and into 2015... we continue to expect only modest growth in the euro area, but
within that there is a marked disparity between the rebounds in some periphery
countries (eg Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain) and disappointment in
Germany, France and Italy... we are leaving our 2015 global growth forecast at
3.5% for now, but note various downside risks
concerning China, Russia, world
trade growth and Advanced Economies’ monetary policy divergence’.