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To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (25277)12/15/1997 10:20:00 AM
From: Kathleen capps  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 53903
 
SB -- I can't get CNBC. I'm curious if they covered the downgrade in David Faber's segment.

Kathleen

PS -- Wall Street doesn't seem to show any fear of your downgrades yet -- you need to turn up the juice.



To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (25277)12/15/1997 10:40:00 AM
From: Patrick Koehler  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 53903
 
Skeeter, you are going to make me pull my remaining hair out, regarding options!! Don't you and others ever do speadsheet analysis of the
various options, and returns at different prices?
The first question to determine what option to buy, is what is your target
price of MU by Friday?
As an example, let's assume the price of MU is 22.5, the Dec 22.5 option
MUXX) is 1.5, and the Dec 25 put (MUXE) is 3. Now assume you
hold the options until Friday, when there is no premium. What is the
return at MU between 25 and 17?
Here are the profit/loss at those numbers:
MU MUXE MUXX
25.0 -100% -100%
24.5 -83% -100%
24.0 -67% -100%
23.5 -50% -100%
23.0 -33% -100%
22.5 -17% -100%
22.0 0% -67%
21.5 17% -33%
21.0 33% 0%
20.5 50% 33%
20.0 67% 67%
19.5 83% 100%
19.0 100% 133%
18.5 117% 167%
18.0 133% 200%
17.5 150% 233%
17.0 167% 267%
Consider the risk-reward of the trade. The stock must trade below 20
for the MUXX to be a higher return. Anything above that, MUXE is
better, and anything between 22.5 and 25 is a 100% loss on the MUXX,
whereas, you still have some money with the MUXE to play another
day. Just food for thought.
Patrick



To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (25277)12/15/1997 12:13:00 PM
From: mike iles  Respond to of 53903
 
Skeeter, excellent stuff!

regards, Mike