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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kirk © who wrote (64222)9/22/2014 2:42:49 PM
From: Seismo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218889
 
Hussman's comment about the Hindenberg Omen was a passing comment. There was no weight given to it as one would see if the whole weekly commentary were read.

Irrespective of Hussman's mutual fund results, I enjoy reading his weekly comments. He is a DR of economics and has been a university professor of economics. He comes at the antics of the Fed through that lens which I find very informative.

I also enjoy reading Hussman for his grounding in market history. Especially regarding FULL market cycles. His weekly comments are just one of many, many different points of data I inhale on a regular basis.

From my perspective, over the past 15 years I watched the half cycle leading up to 2000 turn brutal. I watched the half cycle leading up to 2007 turn brutal. We have injected the current half cycle with staggering amounts of money creation and debt. None of which has had a material effect on the economy but HAS had a tremendous effect on speculative assets. In addition the fundamental structural issues that existed in 2007 have not been fixed. I believe the next half cycle will be just as bad as 2000 and 2008. We will just have to see how things play out to know whether I am right or wrong.