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Technology Stocks : Micron Only Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (25495)12/16/1997 8:13:00 AM
From: Kamil Nemr  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 53903
 
It is trading at 18 in pre-open activity, will probabley trade as low as 16 at the open.



To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (25495)12/16/1997 8:13:00 AM
From: valueminded  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 53903
 
Skeeter:

Earlier post you mention that Micron year estimates to be revised down possibly below 0.50.

Currently this year estimates (ends in August) are at 0.52 If this stock were valued using a classical value model

Price = eps *( 2* R +8.5) * 4.4 / BondRate

We would get (current 1st call at 0.52) and a growth rate of say 16% and a bond rate (corporate aa - 8%)

About $11 to $12.

If next years are expected to be in the $1.00 range than we would expect a fair price trading on 1999 earnings of about $21.

Today should be interesting. My expectation is fair value in the mid to low teens until a stabilazation in dram pricing.