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To: goldsnow who wrote (4342)12/16/1997 5:58:00 PM
From: Bobby Yellin  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 116753
 
question: do you really think clinton was lucky to preside over this
expansion..or was it Rubin's knowledge of how the market works or
Greenspan also being in the right time at the right place? In
other words can policy really sustain economic recoveries or it is
just a natural cycle where there was a huge pent up demand after
a very long lull and because people were terrified of losing their
jobs..they were more concerned with paying off debt and not spending
in case they were laid off..(rather than Greenspan's moves etc)
I know you have to guess..my premise was that all the natural
disasters in the USA helped kickstart the economy with insurance
companies having to pay out..I haven't been a student in these matters
very long(as if I had to tell you :>)The lowering of interest rates
at first seemed like pushing on a string because the banks first wanted to bail themselves out..rather than loan any money..
That is why I truly am curious if you don't mind expanding a bit..
I am also looking for thoughts to help form a picture of if we
are playing musical chairs and can switch sectors as in countries
rather than as in industries..ie..and totally skip a gold cycle..(sob)
..or just have a gold cycle from supply/demand inbalance but avoid global economic castrophe..(unless YR2000 does it inspite of everybody)bobby