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To: Ga Bard who wrote (3434)12/16/1997 10:09:00 PM
From: RavMan  Respond to of 8835
 
THanks Bard...I just didn't want to stuck in a worthless company. I know I should be doing a thorough research before I put my money in but I have just got into stocks and now I am starting to get the lingo. I see what you are saying. Thanks for your time.



To: Ga Bard who wrote (3434)12/16/1997 10:21:00 PM
From: stockid  Respond to of 8835
 
TO ALL FOR YOUR INFO FROM GRUNTAL & Co:

As the fourth quarter of 1997 comes to a close and we look ahead to 1998, we see that the size and soundness
of the U.S. economy will lead economic activity on a global basis. The competitive nature of American
industry, the vibrancy of the service sector, and the continued high level of consumer confidence and
consumption will lead the way for 1998.

U.S. trade, particularly exports, is predominantly value-added, or proprietary goods and services, rather than
commodities. As a result, Asia is less important to us on the export side than some might think. My view is
that Asia is more of a source of production rather than an end-market for U.S. goods. In that event, the fact
that producer prices are falling speaks to the positive aspects of the turmoil coming out of Asia. As a result, we
are maintaining our S&P operating earnings estimates of $46 for 1997, and $52 for 1998. With the market
currently trading at 18 times that number, and the fact that the long-bond is at 6%, I foresee continued upward
movement of the markets. Our target for the S&P 500 is 1000 and 9000 for the Dow by mid-1998.

The fourth quarter is usually the worst time for write-offs and write-downs and this year is no different.
However, even with the pre-announcement season we have just come through, we are not dissuaded from our
bullish viewpoint.

The recent Technology sell-off is also a regular occurrence for this time of year. We believe the industry still
has dynamic growth characteristics and will go on unabated in 1998.

The U.S. financial institutions have also been challenged of late but they too will mirror the size and
soundness of the U.S. economy. These institutions will continue to prosper in 1998 due to the quality of their
loan portfolios, the quality of their sources of income, and the kind of earnings possibilities that exist for
them.

The Healthcare industry has a mind of its own. The rebound in the big-cap names is only the beginning and
we would be concentrated in this arena.

We like the transportation sector also due in part to the vibrancy of the U.S. economy and the fact that we
believe management has the ability to straighten out their cost structures and get pricing right.

In my opinion, there will be a few positive surprises for 1998. The first will be a rate cut from the Fed in the
first quarter. Also, there will be a second half major rebound in Asia in terms of economic activity. Finally,
Europe will emerge as a vibrant economy in 1998.

SK