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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mister topes who wrote (42504)12/17/1997 12:19:00 AM
From: Paul Engel  Respond to of 186894
 
Don - Re: " Intel shareholders are in for more misery. "

When Intel does recover - 3 months, 9 months out,, etc,... Intel investors will be in for very generous returns on their investment.

Think short term - a million things can kill ya!

Think long term - Intel's commanding technology, manufacturing and management superiority will prove successful.

Picture a Pentium II on a 0.18 micron process in 1999 - at a cost of $25.

Intel will make solid profits even on sub $800 PCs when they become the Latest Wall Of Worry for Wall Street Analysts and DumbNut Pundits.

Paul



To: mister topes who wrote (42504)12/17/1997 5:09:00 PM
From: Hank Stamper  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
In a previous post, Don Lane wrote:
"It now appears possible that Intel will record declining profits
in 1998 and could see per share earnings of only $3.50 next year
which means the stock is still overpriced at twenty times
declining earnings! This p/e multiple is absurd for a company
that has traded at must lower multiples (along with other stocks)
during recent years. Intel shareholders are in for more misery."

So I think the question Intel investors should be asking is: What is the historical p/e multiple mean for this stock? It may also help, I think, to consider the historical varience around this mean? E.g., what is one standard deviation about this mean?

Since this is on my mind and I don't know, can someone supply the mean p/e multiple for Intel over, say, the last 10 years?

David Todtman



To: mister topes who wrote (42504)12/17/1997 5:45:00 PM
From: Dale J.  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
<<re: This p/e multiple is absurd for a company
that has traded at must lower multiples (along with other stocks)
during recent years.>>

I don't think it's absurdly high. Intel is still in a long-term growth mode.

Intel is just beginning its foray into the high-end enterprise Server market. Intel has turned all former competitors (Digital, HP, IBM, Sun, NEC, Fujitsu etc.) into partners.

The Internet is a recent global phenomenon. Intel will continue to be a big part of it from PC's to Servers.

They also just announced they intend to be a big player in the Networking arena. They said they have have already made substantial progress outside the US in becoming a dominent player.

Barring a global economic crisis, I think the selling is overdone and we will see new highs by late Spring. January Earnings/forecast will dictate where we go for the short-term, but l/t its up, up and away.