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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Trends & Market Chatter (Investment Ideas) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: benwood who wrote (1471)12/16/2014 2:46:06 PM
From: Fintas1 Recommendation

Recommended By
toccodolce

  Respond to of 4369
 
I agree, that's why I used the BIG D.. the other day.. AKA DEFLATION.

25 years and JAPAN is still functioning. The citizens are still buying products but DEFLATION has got a hold of them like quick sand and the more they try to get out.. The more they sink.

Could the USA experience the same. That in itself could cause a rucus of a debate. Many would do the FED can do this or that. UH HUH.

My view is YES. Yet I also understand it's a PROCESS.

Like I said earlier somewhere.

Anyone notice the stock price of FLUOR, CBI, and the many other large contractors.

Who remembers what happened to them the last time CRUDE dropped and many projects were stopped.. Many suppliers hopes were dashed.

Many SERVOGS were sent packing. What's a SERVOG.. If ya don't know that shows ya how little ya understand re big time.

For all the positives re Fracking.. few understand what can cause things to slow down and in fact come to a halt.

That is also why I have said.. I can see the spx being in a range for years.

So first lets see where the top ends.

But I'm thinking 1512-1836 could be with us for YEARS.

That means many of those stock up to high will come down and stay down for YEARS.

So I'm very aware of land mines.

And back to drys. Drys is no different than an option play for me but without a time line. But Fintas you said you have a large position. I do. .You have disclosed it's also large in dollar. Yes it is.

But large in dollar does not mean large in %.

I have been known to take large in call options. Yet that is not a high %.

Once again it's all in the numbers. Few know....they just imagine in their heads or get their exercise by jumping to conclusions.

Fintas