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To: Joe NYC who wrote (42515)12/17/1997 12:42:00 PM
From: Paul Engel  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
Jozef - Re: "Even if the market grows 15% next year, it will not help. That's only a little over 10M chips. "

You must have dropped a "0". This year's market is about 80,000,000 CPUs and Intle has indicated the current run rate for 1998 should be 100,000,000 CPUs - assuming no recession/depression due to S. E. Asia, El Nino, etc.

Intel's ASPs will begin to grow in the latter half of 1998.

As for Killer Apps - this is a figment from the past - when people needed an excuse to buy a PC. Now, a PC is as much a part of everyday business as a notepad and pencil. The requirement for a PC is a given.

Today, there are hundreds of applications that are useful to everybody - and it is the collection of tens of thousands of applications to choose from (all running on x86 processors) that is the "Killer Application Pool" - reach in and you will find your own personal Killer App.

Moreover, even Windows 95 allows mutiple applications to be run simultaneously/concurrently so the need for higher power CPUs to keep all these applications going "nearly" simultaneously will help drive users to more CPU power.

Ask yourself how many 386 and 486 CPUs were sold this year.

Paul



To: Joe NYC who wrote (42515)12/30/1997 2:40:00 PM
From: Randy Ellingson  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
"I don't think neither Windows 98 not NT 5.0 will require more horsepower than current OSs. Today's mainstream PCs (P-MMX 233) can deliver the performance easily. Do you see any killer app for the masses that would need faster CPU?"

If you give me more CPU/computing power, I'll gladly use it. Links LS98 is always happy to have more. Almost all software developers are happy to have more speed. The race for speed won't slow down anytime soon.

Randy



To: Joe NYC who wrote (42515)12/30/1997 4:16:00 PM
From: Mary Cluney  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Joe, >>>I don't think neither Windows 98 not NT 5.0 will require more horsepower than current OSs. Today's mainstream PCs (P-MMX 233) can deliver the performance easily. Do you see any killer app for the masses that would need faster CPU?<<<

I don't know how long you have been working with computers, but I've been around computers since IBM 360/370 BOS, DOS, OS, MVS, VSE; IBM 8100, 43XX, 30XX; NCR 8100, HP 3000, PDP8, WANG 2200/MVS, IBM SYSTEM 1, 3, 34, 36, 38, AS400; AMDAHL, Fujitsu, Cray - IBM PC, the 286, 386, 486, pentium and others that I have long since forgotten (i.e Univac, Iliac GGG, et al).

At each inflection point - there was always someone asking - who would need a faster CPU? So this time you may think its different - we have finally arrived at a time when we have no need for a faster CPU.

I don't think so. I have been around since nearly the beginning of this stuff and I don't think we are anywhere near the end of where this stuff is going.

Mary