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To: Wharf Rat who wrote (837384)	2/18/2015 1:17:09 PM
From: Wharf Rat	Respond to of 1577452

Tom / February 17, 2015 Hey, welcome back Robert! You didn’t miss much – everything’s gotten considerably worse since your hiatus to research and present this gem. So now we have 2nd hottest January. February won’t be too far behind – record warmth out west and down south(west) will balance out record cold on the east coast. What do you think of the possibility that the “persistent ridge” that’s been giving CA fits for the last 4 years (i know, it’s been longer than that, but they didn’t have the huge, state-wide water shortage then) starts migrating across the country, slowly, like a decade or two over the bread-basket of the U.S. (CA to the far side of the Mississippi) before migrating to the east coast in 2030 or so. i see that the Atlantic Meridional Undercurrent is slowing: nature.com That’s going to have consequences. Reply bassman / February 18, 2015 Tom, Feb is raging hot from everything I have looked at (GFS etc). It could easily be record warmest .80 or greater anomaly. I think the positive PDO and ENSO conditions have the biggest influence Dec-Feb giving 2015 a serious head start for warmest on record. Tamino had a great post on this a while ago. We will have to wait and see. If niño like conditions remain then it’s a near certainty. Reply robertscribbler / February 18, 2015 We have a somewhat warm Kelvin wave building as well. Those atmospheric temps for one day last week hit 1.2 C above 1880s. Pretty amazingly hot.