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Politics : How Quickly Can Obama Totally Destroy the US? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: joseffy who wrote (13986)	2/25/2015 8:17:56 AM
From: D.Austin	1 Recommendation Recommended By joseffy Read Replies (8) \| Respond to of 16547

We were warned - - - crime is going up and Climate Change is the reason. From the February 21 2014 report - - Abt Associates' Study is first to combine crime and weather data in every county in the continental U.S. over 30 years CAMBRIDGE, MA—Violent as well as less serious crimes will escalate in the United States as a result of climate change, indicates a study by Abt Associates’ Dr. Matthew Ranson—the most comprehensive study to date on the topic—published online in the Journal of Environmental Economics and Management (JEEM). The study, the first to examine and combine crime statistics and weather data for each of the nearly 3,000 counties in the continental United States, over a 30-year period, shows that between 2010 and 2099, climate change will cause an increase in a wide range of criminal activity nationwide. This includes an additional 20,000 murders, 200,000 cases of rape, and 3.5 million cases of assault over the next 100 years. “Temperature has a strong effect on criminal behavior. When temperatures rise, so does crime,” Ranson said. “That’s been historically true and it’s unlikely to change in the future.” Ranson said that “even moderate temperatures have a strong influence on violent crime,” and that while the rise in U.S. crime rates over the next 100 years is a modest one to three percent increase, “the impact on victims and law enforcement will be substantial.” Ranson’s findings, starting with the prediction by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change of a jump in global temperatures of five degrees Fahrenheit, were drawn from three decades of weather data from the National Climatic Data Center and crime statistics over the same time period from the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reports database. *********************************************************** From the November 8 2013 report The analysis is based on a 30-year panel of monthly crime and weather data for 2997 US counties. I identify the effect of weather on monthly crime by using a semi-parametric bin estimator and controlling for state-by-month and county-by-year fixed effects. The results show that temperature has a strong positive effect on criminal behavior, with little evidence of lagged impacts. Between 2010 and 2099, climate change will cause an additional 22,000 murders, 180,000 cases of rape, 1.2 million aggravated assaults, 2.3 million simple assaults, 260,000 robberies, 1.3 million burglaries, 2.2 million cases of larceny, and 580,000 cases of vehicle theft in the United States.