December 19, 1997
Merck Readies a Media Blitz For Its New Baldness Drug
By ROBERT LANGRETH Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Merck & Co. has its biggest marketing guns aimed at the heads of American men.
Merck's Propecia, the first prescription tablet for treating male baldness, is expected to get government approval for marketing any day now. The Food and Drug Administration faces a deadline Friday to take some action on Propecia's marketing application, although approval may be delayed for several weeks while the FDA and Merck negotiate the final details of the drug's labeling.
Merck is banking heavily on the success of Propecia. The company needs new revenue sources to offset an upcoming wave of patent expirations in its drugs for lowering blood pressure and cholesterol.
Thus, flush with cash from its traditional prescription-drug business and anticipating Propecia's imminent release, Merck is readying an unusually aggressive consumer campaign. The ads are expected not only to promote the product's benefits but to counter its significant hurdles. High on the list: a small but real risk that the drug will cause reduced sexual desire or partial impotence.
Merck has hired the high-powered advertising agency of Young & Rubicam to create print and television commercials, which analysts speculate will include provocative "before and after" photographs of patients who have grown healthy thatches of hair on the top of their heads.
Since Propecia isn't effective until it has been taken daily for several months and must be taken indefinitely to retain its benefits, Merck's marketing efforts will also include a "retention" campaign designed to keep patients on the drug for the long term. Toward that end, Merck will also sell the drug in three packs containing a three-month supply costing about $150 with a $10 mail-in rebate.
The drug's packaging will be more "consumer friendly" than traditional prescription pills. Merck says it will package the tablets in opaque white bottles with a label dominated by a stylized "P."
Merck's marketers are also expected to emphasize the product as preventing or retarding hair loss, rather than raising expectations too high by saying the product grows hair.
Propecia's potential market is huge. Some 35 million American men suffer from hair loss and now spend about $900 million a year on a wide variety of hair-growth products and treatments. Indeed, whatever Propecia's drawbacks may be, the possibility of combating one of the most common signs of aging in a culture addicted to youthfulness has some analysts predicting that Propecia will become one of the pharmaceutical industry's most successful drugs. Jack Lamberton of NatWest Securities Corp. is forecasting peak sales of $1.5 billion to $2 billion a year.
Analyst David Maris of Aros Securities believes doctors may cash in on the demand for the drug by opening storefront clinics to cater to balding men, much in the way diet doctors created walk-in centers to peddle "fen-phen," the prescription diet-drug combination that has been linked to heart-valve problems.
Propecia is the same chemical ingredient, in a lower dosage, contained in Merck's Proscar, a medicine for treating enlarged prostates. Generically called finasteride, the drug works by shutting down an enzyme needed to produce the male hormone dyhydrotestosterone, which promotes prostate growth. The enzyme is also present in the scalp, and male pattern baldness is rare in men with low levels of this enzyme.
First marketed in 1992, Proscar was expected to become a billion-dollar blockbuster but only had sales of $450 million last year. As Merck tries to resurrect the drug as Propecia (from alopecia, the medical term for baldness), pessimists doubt that a new name, dosage and use will have much effect.
"This may catch on early," predicts Leonard Aronovitz, a hair-transplant specialist in Michigan. "But I don't know how they are going to convince people to take this drug once a day for years. That's hard to do [even] when you are trying to treat a serious disease like asthma."
It is also hard to do when the end results are many levels below miraculous. Merck told a Food and Drug Administration panel of scientific advisers last month that in tests in more than 1,400 patients, 50% of those who took the drug for a year showed some hair gain in before-and-after photos, compared with just 7% of those on a placebo.
After two years, 66% of those on the drug showed some hair gain, compared with 7% on a placebo. But the improvement is modest: On average, patients on the drug for a year gained 80-90 hairs in a 1-inch circle at the top of the head, in addition to the 850 or so they already had.
FDA advisers agreed that the drug worked -- at least for treating hair loss at the top of the head. Some advisers said data weren't conclusive for treating receding hairlines, and it wasn't clear if the drug would work in men over the age of 41. The panel also had concerns about safety -- particularly whether the drug can reduce sperm count in some patients or whether it may hide early signs of prostate cancer.
As Merck prepares for the launch of Propecia, it can't help but be mindful of rival Pharmacia & Upjohn Inc.'s experience selling its topical baldness drug, Rogaine. When Rogaine was available only by prescription, it garnered a scant 400,000 users, resulting in sales of about $100 million a year, about 10% of what some analysts had expected.
Rogaine's usage has soared since it became an over-the-counter medication, with over 2.5 million men and women spending about $162 million annually on the drug. Pharmacia & Upjohn also hopes to head off competition from Propecia with a new extra-strength version of Rogaine, which will be marketed by sports stars like basketball player Karl Malone.
Merck's planned campaign must overcome considerable resistance. "Half the people I speak with at seminars have heard [the drug may cause impotence] and won't touch it," says William Rassman, a physician and founder of New Hair Institute, a chain of hair-transplant clinics based in Los Angeles. Nevertheless, he says the drug appears fairly safe and he plans to try it on some patients.
Aros Securities' Mr. Maris, more confident, sees it this way: "You shouldn't underestimate male vanity."
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