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Technology Stocks : Applied Magnetics Corp -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mark Adams who wrote (11069)12/18/1997 12:30:00 PM
From: T Bowl  Respond to of 12298
 
Mark -

I'm not denying that RDRT has been hit hard by this. They do supply the 1.3GB to WDC as well - the PR specifically spoke about it. They came out with the U/S reduction heads at the end of 96. APMs GMs have been drying up ever since. Check the #s. 38%, 32%, 27%. The bread and butter is gone.

todd



To: Mark Adams who wrote (11069)12/18/1997 7:25:00 PM
From: Frodo Baxter  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12298
 
>There are better shorts available.

Name one. The bearish case for APM is that they don't have cash available to finance a transition to MR quickly enough.

Available evidence:
1) TFI revenue drying up double-quick (30%, for god's sake!) MR revenue minimal.
2) Questionable book value. Assets are tech properties in Malaysia. Write-downs coming for accelerated end-of-life.
3) Credit facility value has dropped due to depreciation of ringgit. Interest rates in Malaysia are high, as well.
4) Already leveraged with convertible debt offering. Will be difficult (read: expensive) to acquire further financing.

APM will not survive 1998 as an indy.