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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Robohogs who wrote (55118)3/30/2015 1:23:24 PM
From: Mattyice  Respond to of 78714
 
You may be right, and there is no guidebook but its a small basket in my portfolio and these bubbly situations have generated considerable returns for me over the past 5 or 6 years.

I also have a very small basket on several canadian banks I am short - I feel less confident in this space but it also feels like decent value considering current environment that we have discussed on this thread. I'm finding little opportunity long wise other than a few emerging markets and mining stocks.

The put contracts on 2017s are relatively cheap and I consider decent value.. implied volatility in the 20s is what i paid (or at least was.. things might have changed over the last week or so).

It's always conflicting to be short and long things.. Its a struggle i have internally all to often and always assume i'm going to be wrong but im uncomfortably comfortable with the risk/reward.

.......

HELLO!




To: Robohogs who wrote (55118)3/30/2015 3:12:13 PM
From: dalroi  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78714
 
well compared to 2000 we still are nowhere :-)

i remember buying kdus t 3/16 a share per Ricks recomendation

sold the last for 5 or so

that was bubble stuff

incy to 200 or so

think we aint see anything yet

also peeling a bit off the stachs :-)

dont wanna hae a biotech 2 event where gains dropped fast after bubble deflated



To: Robohogs who wrote (55118)4/3/2015 7:55:24 PM
From: Graham Osborn1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Mattyice

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78714
 
I agree, too early to discern where this cycle turns. Of my short candidates, only AABV and AZN are close to meeting criteria. As in 2000, M&A by the large caps at dirt cheap WACC supports the pyramid. Once these fall the mid and small caps get crushed underneath. It's too bad because I see a number of values in mid and small cap that will probably present deeper value later.