To: KM who wrote (40687 ) 12/19/1997 7:37:00 AM From: Ben Antanaitis Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 58324
Well, here we all are, facing another day in IOMegaland. But this is also the last day of an era, of sorts. Today is the last day with the current number of outstanding shares. Monday will bring new prices and slightly different dynamics. With the increased number, each of us has a 100% increase in the 'leverage' potential, both up and down, on a dollar for dollar basis with regard to the price of IOM. The shorts will find themselves edged into dangerous territory, and that's all right with me. But what of today? Well Debra and Stewart and Susie and Kevin are reading out the Globex S&P futures with a gleam in their eyes. Looks like the DOW is going to tank early on, it is triple witching day and woe unto us all NIKE is going to have problems selling sneakers to the Asians.... duh! So, IOM may be swept up along with the rest of the NYSE... after all, it makes sense doesn't it, IOM is a disk drive maker and we all know that group is dead. Everyone has a disk drive and no more are required... ever. So I will not be surprised to see the 23 mark tested and perhaps 22.5... I would like to be surprised, and see 25 or 28 32, but Santa isn't coming to this Dec options holder's house, not with IOM anyway. So where does this leave IOM? This is just a theory, comment is welcome, but I think we are caught within the influence of several forces and none of us is in a position to affect them. One force is the fact that the mo-mo (momentum) players have left IOM for other fish to fry right now. Comdex is over, the earnings are a month away, perhaps today's call will catch some ears, but IOM is languishing in a news draught, indeed the French court finding and the Jaz2 delay were the 'low lights' of the week. Another factor is that some investors are now uncomfortable with how IOM demand can be predicted going into next year. Yes they have a large base, now. But those folks will only be purchasing additional media, and if things are tight in the economy, will those users erase and reuse media rather than archive and buy new? The PC box makers are going to install ZIP/JAZ etc into more and more units, but if the demand for new PCs is in doubt and cannot be projected, what can the investors/analysts use to project the real demand going forward this next year? So, when in doubt, throw it out. Then there are the folk who are driving the price down to pick up shares on the cheap to resell when they upgrade and tout IOM next month. Well, I am still going to hold, wait out the next several days, weeks and see what develops. Dumb, perhaps, but I've gotten to this point before and whenever I have been this depressed and 'pull the plug', I've always proved the adage that says when the little guy gets scared out of his position, that's just when it turns around. All the bearish pain here may just be the bullish indicator we need........ Enough already, sorry for the rambling, Ben A.