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Strategies & Market Trends : Buffettology -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: iDan_TZ who wrote (4481)6/14/2015 2:07:40 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4691
 
It might be less likely, but still unpredictable, i.e. it still can happen.



To: iDan_TZ who wrote (4481)6/19/2015 3:29:52 AM
From: Shane M  Respond to of 4691
 
iDan, I'm certainly no expert, and won't pretend to be able to see the future, but it's fair to say this has been an "unloved" bull market, and that element of sentiment is something I pay attention to. I disagree w/ the premise though. I don't get the impression that smart money - whatever that is ;-) - is expecting a crash.

Valuation levels are historically high (by relative standards), but that doesn't necessarily mean a correction is imminent. If rates stay relatively low, stock valuations can stay relatively high. They're inter-related.

Here's a recent blog post that I think is good explaining these things are just hard to predict, but that's OK :
awealthofcommonsense.com

quote: "Stocks can and will fall for a number of reasons. But you have to be a glutton for punishment if your investment plan relies on your ability to consistently call these moves"