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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ron Bower who wrote (2834)12/20/1997 2:18:00 PM
From: Michael Burry  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 78751
 
Another point to consider, though it is somewhat off-topic,
is consumer credit card debt is at 1.2 trillion, which is $4500 for
every man woman and child in America. That is absolutely
staggering. So like half the population has credit cards, and
they on average have 9-10K in high interest debt. How a low
rate/slowing economy will affect that and vice versa will be
interesting. I admit I'm an offender, and I'll welcome lower rates,
but then my job is secure and my wages are pretty sticky. I get the
feeling that people are playing the market with blood money, which
sets us up like the 1920's if th e market crashes severely. This is
just food for thought...

I'm only concerned about this issue because I am having difficulty
finding good values, and having read too much Fisher and
Buffett-stuff lately, I'm reluctant to invest in crappy illiquid
businesses. As of now I hold Deswell (7%) and SJP (10%), and am
coming off a week in which I was short several stocks for several days
and closed out an arbitrage position with some small gains, so
I'm biased - with all this cash I would be lying if I didn't say
I'm rooting for the market to fall.

Mike