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To: goldsnow who wrote (4533)12/20/1997 3:00:00 PM
From: PaulM  Respond to of 116752
 
Goldsnow, lately I've been reading headlines like, "America: the New Tiger" and "America: World's New Engine of Economic Growth."

Give me a break.

Asia is experiencing what we experienced in the 1920's, when America really was the world's engine of economic growth. When youv'e got that sort of explosive growth, and financial assets only go up, the process feeds on itself, and asset valuations get out of a hand..

But, with 7%, 8% and somtimes even double digit GDB growth, at least a rational argument can be made that the Japanese and Asian Tiger stock markets should trade at a premium (though not the current premium). In the U.S. if the economy grows 3.5% it's in danger of "overheating."

It will be intersting to hear analysts try to juice a low-dividend, high PE, low earnings growth equity market.



To: goldsnow who wrote (4533)12/20/1997 3:37:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 116752
 
More from IMF-I think an thinly vailed attempt to say O'key we are slowing- but no, no. not recession

c The Associated Press

By The Associated Press

Economic growth forecasts for country groupings and selected countries from the International Monetary Fund's revised ''World Economic Outlook.'' The first figure is the IMF's projection for economic growth in 1997, the second the IMF forecast for 1998, the third the percentage-point change in the 1998 figure from an October forecast:

World output: 4.1 percent, 3.5 percent, -0.8 percentage point

Industrial nations: 2.8 percent, 2.3 percent, -0.2 percentage point

Developing nations: 5.9 percent, 4.9 percent, -1.3 percentage point

Africa: 3.4 percent, 4.7 percent, -0.3 percentage point

Asia: 6.8 percent, 5.7 percent, -1.7 percentage point

Middle East, Europe: 4.1 percent, 3.6 percent, -0.6 percentage point

Central, Eastern Europe: 2.4 percent, 3.4 percent, -0.2 percentage point

Western Hemisphere: 5.2 percent, 3.5 percent, -0.9 percentage point

United States: 3.8 percent, 2.4 percent, -0.2 percentage point

Japan: 1.0 percent, 1.1 percent, -1.0 percentage point

Germany: 2.3 percent, 2.6 percent, -0.2 percentage point

France: 2.3 percent, 2.7 percent, -0.1 percentage point

Italy: 1.3 percent, 2.3 percent, +0.2 percentage point

Britain: 3.5 percent, 2.4 percent, -0.2 percentage point

Canada: 3.7 percent, 3.2 percent, -0.3 percentage point

Thailand: 0.6 percent, 0.0 percent, -3.5 percentage points

Indonesia: 5.0 percent, 2.0 percent, -4.2 percentage points

Malaysia: 4.3 percent, 3.8 percent, -1.2 percentage points

Philippines: 4.3 percent, 3.8 percent, -1.2 percentage points

Hong Kong: 5.3 percent, 4.1 percent, -0.9 percentage point

South Korea: 6.0 percent, 2.5 percent, -3.5 percentage points

China: 8.8 percent, 7.5 percent, -1.5 percentage point

AP-NY-12-20-97 1332EST



To: goldsnow who wrote (4533)12/20/1997 4:46:00 PM
From: Bucky Katt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116752
 
GS-- Toyota and Nissan were both saved from bk in the early '50's by
selling vehicles to (gasp) the US military for war in Korea!!
Actually, the war bailed out Japan in general. Interesting how things work.
And hey, why would any "global" company like Kodak keep high paid workers when you can get a commie coolie to work virtually for free?

Now Goldsnow, think about this-- Hillary Clinton was the first women director on the WalMart board. WalMart is one of the biggest buyers and sellers of Chinese made goods. The Clinton administration has been very pro China. A tie-in?
Is it any wonder fast track died? The Senate knows what is going on here, but it looks like it's a little late in the game to help the US worker.
So, if Americans are all employed, but flipping burgers, who will sustain the buying? Even WalMart knows something, witness them buying big (store chains) in Germany this week.