To: Scotsman who wrote (26977 ) 12/20/1997 11:18:00 PM From: John Rieman Respond to of 50808
TCI boxes. They name some names...............................................multichannel.com TCI Masterminds Set-Top Order By LESLIE ELLIS John C. Malone's push to make advanced digital boxes "ubiquitous" devices shifted into gear last week, as the Tele-Communications Inc. chairman and CEO masterminded a huge set-top order that should bring in other big-name technology partners soon. TCI laid out plans to buy between 6.9 million and 11.5 million digital set-tops from General Instrument Corp. (which changed its name back from NextLevel Systems Inc.) over the next three to five years. To win orders from TCI and other operators, GI also agreed to yield up to 16 percent of its company in the form of stock warrants. The high volumes involved will keep the new boxes at an average cost of about $300, making the deal worth $4.5 billion to GI.Other shoes may drop soon. At press time, GI was close to a deal with Sony Electronics Corp. or Thomson Consumer Electronics Inc. as potential manufacturing partners to act as secondary suppliers and to bring retail-distribution connections, sources familiar with the talks said. TCI is also "leaning very close" to an arrangement with Intel Corp. for the microprocessors and with Microsoft Corp. for its Windows CE operating system for TCI's new boxes, according to one executive who requested anonymity. Malone and other cable CEOs visited Intel after the Western Show. GI nabbed an order for "at least" 15 million set-tops from TCI and other MSOs. TCI and its direct "family" of other MSOs -- including joint-venture partners and existing Headend in the Sky affiliates -- get 6.9 million. HITS will buy an additional 4.6 million boxes for other small MSOs that aren't yet HITS affiliates.About nine other MSOs will buy another 3.5 million GI boxes. Time Warner Cable, Cox Communications Inc., Comcast Corp. and Shaw Communications publicly acknowledged their roles in the deal. Other MSOs, such as MediaOne and Cablevision Systems Corp., declined to comment, but they are apparently involved, as well. In an unexpected twist, GI will buy the security portion of TCI's HITS service, based in Littleton, Colo. -- the so-called central nervous system of HITS -- for 10 percent equity in GI, currently worth some $380 million. Analysts said that could help to sway future HITS affiliates that were wary of entrusting that job to TCI. In an interview last Thursday, Malone acknowledged that GI's assuming the access-control and encryption functions "is important, because it puts us at arm's length of information that potential HITS affiliates found disturbing for us to know, like how many subscribers they have and what they're buying." MSOs in the set-top order also receive warrants for GI stock, to be exercised only after set-tops are shipped. "It's like a rebate," said Jim Chiddix, chief technical officer for Time Warner, which will buy 500,000 GI set-tops. The warrants, with a strike price of $14.25 per share, represent about 16 percent of GI's equity. GI CEO Edward Breen called the warrants a "creative" move to help put some teeth into the orders, because they can't be used unless the MSOs take deliveries. "It's a nice feeling that 16 percent of our company is [going to be] owned by our customer base," he told analysts. Malone declared last week: "This is really a watershed for the cable industry and for TCI. It represents the first evidence of real hard convergence of the computer world and the cable-TV-video world." He added that over the next three to four years, he was "looking forward to bringing television-set computing ubiquitously to our customers and our affiliates." Malone again suggested that other strategic players would end up financing a significant portion of the order, declining to be more specific. Malone said GI plans to offer MSOs a range of boxes, which will be "backward- and forward-compatible." TCI's digital cable service will continue using GI DCT-1000 boxes and, in early 1999, they will move up to mass deployment of "Cadillac-type boxes," meaning the DCT-5000 with a built-in cable modem. Malone also said that Scientific-Atlanta Inc. will act as "systems integrator" on the project. Allen Ecker, chief technical officer for S-A, said last week that S-A would continue to divide orders with GI. GI's stock rose by about 18 percent, to $17.68 per share, last Wednesday after the deal was announced, and it then slipped a bit Thursday. But Cowen & Co. analyst James Kedersha said much of the gain could be attributed to GI's report the same day that cost-cutting measures would add 20 cents per share to its results next year. Kedersha said he didn't want to sound overly negative, but there were plenty of questions yet to be answered. Among them: How will the MSOs pay for the boxes? How rapidly will MSOs convince customers to buy digital services? And how much profit will GI earn on the order? Malone said last week that in order to deal in high volumes, GI will have to accept slimmer profit margins. Kent Gibbons contributed to this story.